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Latest Releases

Reports

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04/09/2014

Fed Watch. FOMC Minutes: March 18-19th

Discussion Downplays Change in Fed Funds Expectations


03/19/2014

Fed Watch. FOMC Statement: March 18-19th

Yellen Starts Her Chairmanship with Strong Move on Guidance


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04/08/2014

U.S. Economic Watch. Job Openings and Labor Turnover

Openings and hirings recover in February from winter slowdown


04/08/2014

U.S. Economic Watch. Monthly US Outlook: April

A Late Spring for Economic Activity


03/20/2014

U.S. Economic Watch. Should Low Inflation be a Concern?

A Comprehensive Explanation for the Current Lack of Inflationary Pressures


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04/08/2014

U.S. Economic Watch. State Activity Indexes February 2014

Seasonal headwinds kept share of states with increasing activity constant at 80%.


03/25/2014

U.S. Economic Watch. Is E-Commerce Taxation a Solution for State Revenues?

Estimates suggest states are missing out on over $11bn a year. Online sales projected to make up increasing share of total sales


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04/15/2014

U.S. CRE Outlook. Investors Turn up the Heat

Broad Gains Across Property Types and Local Markets


02/06/2014

U.S. Housing Outlook. Seller’s Market Persists in 2014

Tight inventory and low mortgage rates support further price appreciation, although at a slower pace due to declining affordability


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03/22/2013

U.S. Economic Watch. Structural Series: Immigration Reform

Enhancing Growth through Immigration Policy: An Update


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04/15/2014

Regulation Outlook, April 2014

This month we focus on the Single Resolution Mechanism, the liquidity regulation, the securitisation market, takeaways from the US Stress Tests, the operational subsidiarisation and leverage ratio


04/08/2014

U.S. Banking Watch. Consumer Credit: Monthly Situation Report

Total outstanding consumer credit increased $16.5B in February. Revolving credit was down $2.4B while non-revolving credit rose $18.9B, the biggest increase since February 2013


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Forecasts

Flash

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04/21/2014

U.S. Weekly Flash. Retail Sales Strong in March Led By Boost in Autos  

Headline retail sales jumped 1.1% in March, the biggest gain since September 2012, supporting our expectations that the slowdown was due mostly to transitory factors


04/14/2014

U.S. Weekly Flash. JOLTS: Openings and Hirings Recover in February from Winter Slowdown  

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for February 2014 reported a strong increase in openings from January


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04/17/2014  Sectorial Analysis

US Regional Flash: ''Coastal MSAs Shine In February Employment Report''  

Pointing to improvements in local labor markets, employment in February expanded in more MSAs than one month ago


04/16/2014  Macroeconomic Analysis

U.S. Flash. Beige Book Finds Moderate Growth Through 1Q14  

Overall economic activity improved in majority of regions from previous report. Winter weather consistently cited as reason for slowdown in specific regions


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Events

Working Papers

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06/19/2012

Real-time forecasting US GDP from small-scale factor models

This paper proposes two refinements to the single-index dynamic factor model developed by Aruoba and Diebold (AD, 2010) to monitor US economic activity in real time

Author: Máximo Camacho and Jaime Martínez-Martín
 12/10

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