According to the economic approach to political transitions, transitory negative economic shocks can open a window of opportunity for democratic improvement.
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Antonio Ciccone
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Many factors inhibiting and facilitating economic growth have been suggested. Can agnostics rely on international income data to tell them which matter? We find that agnostic priors lead to conclusions that are sensitive to differences across available income estimates.
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To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities.
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