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    Adrian Casillas
    Adrian Casillas
    Economist
    USA

    Adrian Casillas is a recent graduate from the University of Texas at Austin where he received a BS in Mathematics, a BA in Philosophy, and a BBA in Quantitative Finance.

    His research experience includes topics related to governance and regulation of capital markets, portfolio theory in emerging markets, and the application of mathematical optimization methods in asset pricing and equity indexing.

    Latest publications

    December 23, 2019

    Business and credit cycles, financial instability and recession triggers
    The paper presents a quasi-historiographical or “narrative” analysis of the most critical developments occurring prior to and through the last nine recessions in light of Minsky’s theory of financial instability.

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    December 19, 2019

    U.S. Elections Chartbook. December 2019
    Seven candidates qualified for the Democratic debate on 12/19. Party nomination starts with Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. Super Tuesday on March 3; over 50% of delegates by end of March.

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    November 19, 2019

    U.S. Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2019
    Three-parts accommodation, one-part trade détente baked into 2020 outlook, but is it enough to avoid a downturn? Fed's Art of War: Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.

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