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Alfredo Salgado
Alfredo Salgado

Senior Economist

Currently Alfredo Salgado is a Senior Economist at BBVA Research Mexico within the unit on the topic of Migration.

 

Previously, he served as Coordinator of Strategic Projects for Science, Technology and Innovation in the Scientific and Technological Consultative Forum which is an advisory institution in science and technology topics for the federal government and CONACYT in Mexico. He has taught several courses on microeconomics, public economics and econometrics at Carlos III University of Madrid and Universidad Iberoamericana.

 

He obtained his PhD in Economics at Carlos III University of Madrid where he specialized in microeconomics, game theory and industrial organization, and also spent a research stay at the Autonomous University of Barcelona. He also obtained a Masters degree in Economics at El Colegio de México and a degree in economics at the Autonomous Metropolitan University in Mexico.


Latest Publications

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Mexico Regional Sectorial Outlook. Second Half 2016

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The automotive industry in Mexico: domestic sales at their highest level, exports will depend on the international situation. NAFTA promotes greater trade integration and economic complexity. The telecommunications reform begins to show its positive effects

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Yearbook of migration and remittances 2016

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The Yearbook of Migration and Remittances Mexico 2016 is the result of the joint work of the National Population Council (CONAPO), BBVA Bancomer Foundation and BBVA Research. It presents statistical information from the main official sources, both national and international, on migration dynamics in Mexico and the world

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Migration Outlook First Half 2016

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12.2 million Mexican immigrants in the United States in 2015: Has the period of zero net migration come to an end? DACA 2012-2015: Benefits in terms of employment, social integration, educational & financial inclusion for dreamers, but without a path to citizenship. In localities with medium, high & very high migratory intensity, minors play a greater role in working life

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Weekly | Fed hike less likely due to weak U.S. jobs data

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U.S. employment data below expectations cuts the chances of a rate hike by the Fed in the short term

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Remittances grew by 8.3% in April, with an inflow of US$2,173.4 million

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In the first four months of 2016, remittances totalled US$8,388.9 million, 8.5% more than in the same four months of 2015. The growing trend of remittances to Mexico still seems to be driven by the improving employment situation of Mexican immigrants in the US

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Weekly | Differentiated movements in the markets given uncertainty about the US MP

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The possibility of an increase in the federal funds rate remains the main factor behind the movements in the markets and has been reflected differently among different asset classes

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Remittances end growth spurt with a fall of 2.4% to US$2.2 billion in March 2016

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In the first quarter of 2016 remittances amounted to US$6.2 billion, 8.6% more than in the same quarter of 2015. Mexico City (+24.7%), Guerrero (+17.0%), Sonora (+16.9%) and Chihuahua (+15.7%) were the states with the biggest percentage increases in receipts of remittances during the first quarter of 2016

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Remittances up by 13.6% in February 2016, reaching US$2,093.2 million

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It seems that the strong appreciation of the dollar against the peso continues to act as an incentive for sending remittances to Mexico. Our estimates indicate that remittances will continue their pronounced upward trend at least for the remainder of the first quarter of this year

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Remittances began 2016 with 18.8% growth in January and an inflow of 1,932.2md

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Remittances continue the upward trend of 2015, driven by the exchange rate and the growing employment trend in the U.S. In January, the dollar appreciated by 22.5% over the same month of the previous year, while the overall unemployment rate in the U.S. stood at a post-crisis low of 4.9%

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Weekly | The Mexican peso continues to face a difficult environment

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The announcement of the details of the cut in the budget of PEMEX certainly will have the attention of the markets in Mexico next week

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish

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Mexico Weekly | The risks are exacerbated in financial markets

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Unlike previous episodes of risk aversion, markets can not look at the Fed to improve short-term sentiment

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish

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Mexico Weekly | The markets discounted a slower pace of monetary normalization in the U.S.

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Prospects of a hike in the U.S. interest rates are reduced due to below-expectations data in the U.S. economy and comments from members of the FOMC

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Remittances reached US$24.77 billion in 2015, 4.8% up on the previous year

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The total inflow of remittances to Mexico grew by 4.8% in 2015 to US$24.77 billion. In December 2015 remittances fell by 2.1% compared with the same month of 2014, with a inflow of US$2.19 billion, bringing an end to a period of ten consecutive months of growth

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Weekly | The peso appreciated nearly 2.0% over the week due to rising oil prices

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Risk assets maintained the recovery trend that began late last week driven by rising oil prices and a more pessimistic tone of the major central banks

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish

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Mexico Weekly | The expectation for December interest rate hike is reinforced

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Yellen reinforces the expectation of rising US monetary rate in December and job creation in November consolidates this expectation. The attention of financial markets was mainly focused on three major events this week: i) the ECB meeting, ii) Janet Yellen's statement before Congress, and iii) the U.S. job creation figures in November

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish