Searcher
Boyd Nash-Stacey
Boyd Nash-Stacey
Senior Economist
USA

Boyd Nash-Stacey is Senior Economist at BBVA Research, where he is in charge of U.S. macroeconomic analysis, U.S. financial markets and, geostrategy and strategic analysis in U.S. In the past, Boyd has held positions focused on regional economic analysis and forecasting, underbanking research, political and financial scenario development, and demographic opportunity.


His work has been featured in Bloomberg, Dallas Morning News, the Houston Chronicle, San Antonio Express News, Business Weekly, Business Insider, American Banker and Texas Monthly.


Boyd holds a BA in Public Policy and Political science from The University of Texas at Austin, and a MA in Applied Econometrics from the University of Houston.

Latest publications

Models suggest more than 70% probability of recession within the next 24 months. Shadow banking, business debt and risk appetite represent major red flags. Dovish Fed response has potential to negate downside risks in short-term.
GDP growth 2.5% in 2019, and 2.0% in 2020. Model-based recessions projections suggest probability around 60%. Low likelihood of Fed rate hike in 2019. Labor market improving in spite growing risks to the outlook. Core inflation stable, headline trending upwards.
In July, the current economic expansion will reach 121 months, becoming the longest in modern history. Barring any shocks, inflation-adjusted GDP will average more than $21T in 2019 and by the end of the year real GDP per capita will surpass $58K.