Carlos Casanova
Carlos Casanova

Carlos Casanova is an economist at BBVA in Hong Kong. His areas of expertise include economic developments in the Asia Pacific region and China, as well as the energy and commodity sectors. In addition to examining macroeconomic trends in Asia, he focuses on China’s economic relationship with the world, particularly Latin America and Africa.

Prior to joining BBVA, Carlos worked for the European Commission and as a senior consultant for an energy firm in Beijing.

Carlos holds a BA Joint Honours from the University of London, School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS); and an MA in International Economics from the Johns Hopkins University, School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). Carlos speaks Spanish, English and Chinese fluently.

Latest publications

We develop an indicator to track vulnerability sentiment in China. In order to ensure robustness and depth, we use a combination of traditional macroeconomic and financial time series with textual analysis using Big Data techniques.The index is composed by the following dimensions: state owned enterprises; shadow banking; housing market bubble and exchange rate market.
Our China Vulnerability Sentiment Index (CVSI) moderated in April after improving since July 2016. The CVSI is now edging to neutral, however the components of the index show divergence. The moderation can be related to a decline in housing and FX components. The shadow banking component remained positive on a tighter monetary policy stance and macroprudential measures.
China announced the establishment of a new economic zone 100km South of the capital, Beijing. The Xiongan New Area will encompass three counties, including Xiongxian, Rongcheng and Anxin. The area will sit at the center of a triangle formed by the capital, Beijing; one of North China’s busiest port cities, Tianjin; and the capital of Hebei province, Shijiazhuang.