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Fabián Mauricio García
Fabián Mauricio García

Senior Economist

Fabian Garcia is Senior Economist of BBVA Research in Colombia where he is in charge of sectoral analysis, forecasting macroeconomic variables such as inflation and GDP (supply side), and the preparation of reports with analyzes of various economic issues.

 

He previously served as junior researcher at Fedesarrollo, advisor to the Macroeconomic Policy of the Ministry of Finance, advisor to the Head of the National Planning Department, a consultant for the Inter-American Development Bank and assistant professor at the University of the Andes and University of British Columbia.

 

He earned his undergraduate and master's degree in economics from the University of the Andes. It also has a specialization in Data Science at John Hopkins University in Coursera and doctoral studies in economics at the University of British Columbia.


Latest Publications

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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Economic recovery in Colombia will consolidate in 2018, especially in the second semester. Inflation will continue to decelerate in 2018 closing at 3,1%. The Central Bank will be able to reduce interest rates in the first half of 2018 to 4,0%. Structural imbalances continue to adjust, though in the fiscal front there are some challenges in 2019.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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Higher oil prices and a more robust world growth contribute to the recovery cycle of the Colombian economy in 2018 and 2019. Inflation will continue decelerating, allowing the Central Bank to reduce their policy rate in 2018. Structural imbalances continue to adjust, even though the fiscal balance will face some challenges in 2019.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2017

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The economic slowdown seems to have ended in the second quarter. In the third quarter, there are signs of recovery to be seen in several sectoral indicators, although growth will remain low for the full year.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

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The Colombian economy shows a better behavior from the third quarter leaving the deceleration cycle behind. For 2018 most sectors will contribute to the acceleration of the economy thanks to a stronger internal demand and a recovery in external demand.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2017

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The Colombian economy responded positively to the oil Price shock maintaining positive growth. Nonetheless the recovery will be slow given the limited sources of growth. Inflation should continue its descending path in 2018 reaching the target range and there will be space for the Central Bank to continue reducing its reference interest rate.

Available in Spanish, English

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The Colombian road infrastructure: Where are we and where are we going in 4G?

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4G projects have demanded an overall significant effort. At the moment, 23 of the 32 4G projects have an ANI’s contractual financial closure and only 8 of them have a definitive one. Our scenario includes an execution which is slower than what the Government expects but that is still supporting GDP growth, especially in 2019. Challenges remain to be overcome.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

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The Colombian economy responded positively to the oil price shock maintaining growth in positive territory. The recovery will be slow given the limited sources of growth. Inflation will continue to descend in 2018 within the target range and there will be space for the Central Bank to continue reducing its policy rate.

Available in Spanish, English

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

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The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Outlook. Second Quarter 2017

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Perspectives for world growth have increased slightly in the last quarter. In Colombia, 2017 began slowly, with growth affected by the low level of consumer confidence and sluggish public and private investment. Inflation continues to decline and BanRep will slash its benchmark rate in the coming months.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

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World growth continues apace. The Colombian economy will grow slightly faster than it did in 2016. 2016 saw a healthy and significant adjustment to the current account. Inflation shakes off supply-side shocks and ratifies its sharp fall. The Banco de la República has embarked on a downward rate cycle.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

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The global economy is gradually accelerating on the back of United States growth. Colombia GDP growth will rise from 1.9% in 2016 to 2.4% and 3.3% in 2017 and 2018. Investment will be decisive for reaching theses figures. The progressive reduction of inflation will allow BanRep to slash rates during 2017 and 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

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The global economy is gradually accelerating on the back of United States growth. Colombia GDP growth will rise from 1.9% in 2016 to 2.4% and 3.3% in 2017 and 2018. Investment will be decisive for reaching theses figures. The progressive reduction of inflation will allow BanRep to slash rates during 2017 and 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016

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Global economy: slow recovery with the support of central banks. Colombia is nearing completion of its adjustment to lower oil prices and its growth will gradually accelerate from 2017 onwards. Current account deficit is rapidly decreasing. Rapid decline in inflation is making room for BanRep to be more aggressive in lowering intervention rates in 2017.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation "Colombia Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016"

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Global economy: slow recovery with the support of central banks. Colombia is nearing completion of its adjustment to lower oil prices and its growth will gradually accelerate from 2017 onwards. Current account deficit is rapidly decreasing. Rapid decline in inflation is making room for the central bank to be more aggressive in lowering intervention rates in 2017

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2016

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A gradual and well-ordered slowdown of the economy continues, reducing the macroeconomic imbalances. Macroeconomic vulnerabilities have diminished, though they have not disappeared. Market volatility in the wake of Brexit was offset by an expected more accommodating tone on the part of developed economies' central banks.

Units:
Geographies:Colombia

Available in Spanish, English