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Fernando Balbuena
Fernando Balbuena

Senior Economist

Fernando Balbuena is Senior Economist at BBVA Research Mexico since 2009. He is in charge of the economic and financial analysis of the real estate sector and the construction industry.

 

Previously, he worked as Economist in the Economic Development Department of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) of the United Nations Organization (UNO), where he was in charge of the analysis and design of macroeconometric models for the countries of Central America and the Caribbean.

 

Fernando holds a BA in Economics from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) and a MA in Finance from the School of Engineering of the same University. Participates as a speaker in academic conferences and forums related to the housing sector in Mexico.


Latest Publications

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. July 2018

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Balance of risks of the Financial System Stability Council (CESF). Value of cars bought on credit shifted towards higher prices. The value of production of construction companies fell by 2.6% in the first four months of 2018. Reduced concerns about global trade tensions give respite to domestic assets in the second half of June.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. June 2018

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Domestic sources of financing supported the non-financial private sector. Housing prices rose by 8.7% in the first quarter of 2018. The prospect of a long drawn-out renegotiation of NAFTA leads to negative differentiation of domestic assets. Incorporation of new rating agencies. Banco de México: consultation on subordinated bonds.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. May 2018

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The World Bank updated the “Global Financial Inclusion” (Global Findex) database. Housing construction projects could recover in the first half of 2018. Domestic assets in step with NAFTA negotiations. Adjustments regarding external auditing.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. April 2018

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Annual report of the Financial System Stability Council (CESF). The value of construction company activity fell by 3.5% in 2017. The markets steadied after the temporary upturn in volatility. Adjustments to the methodology for determining the degree of systemic importance of multiple purpose banking institutions.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. March 2018

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Banco de México publishes a new survey on bank credit conditions. Banco de México highlights the decrease in the use of financial resources by the public sector and a shift in intermediation towards the private sector. Housing prices rise 7.35% per annum in the fourth quarter of 2017. The markets steadied after the temporary upturn in volatility.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. February 2018

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New tool to analyse conditions in the credit card market. Banco de México modifies the definition of monetary aggregates and introduces new indicators. Mortgage interest rates in line with long-term rates. Financial market volatility picks up.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Real Estate Outlook. First half 2018

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The trend in construction continues to show lower growth than that of the economy in general. In the third quarter, the fall of the accumulated GDP of the sector is -1.2% as an annual rate, largely due to civil works, which have fallen by 11%. Building will close with a growth of 0.5%. Civil works will not rebound due to the adjustments in public expenditure.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. January 2018

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Banxico has updated its report on housing loan indicators. Payroll credit slows despite improvement in its granting conditions. Alert from the authorities about participation in “Initial Coin Offerings” schemes (ICO). The Financial System Stability Council (CESF) updates its balance of risks.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. December 2017

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The total credit balance through cards slows its momentum during 2017. Car loans accelerated their momentum, offering better conditions as regards amounts and terms. The International Monetary Fund renews Mexico’s Flexible Credit Line. The Mexican financial system has the capacity to face adverse events. New technologies and financial inclusion in Latin America.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. November 2017

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The global financial system faces lesser risks, but vulnerabilities and regulatory challenges persist. In September house prices rose less than inflation. Negative differentiation of domestic assets due to uncertainty caused by the renegotiation of NAFTA. Adjustments to the risk diversification rule

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. October 2017

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Update of the risk assessment by the Financial System Stability Council (CESF). The value of construction companies’ activity fell 2.7% in July 2017. Losses for Emerging Market assets on investor expectations factoring in an additional hike by the Fed towards year end

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. September 2017

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Housing prices rise 6.88% in the second half of 2017. The Bank of Mexico announces a slow-down in the economy’s financing sources and uses. The rate of growth of the personal loan portfolio continues to slow. Credit card financing consolidated its recovery in 2016

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. August 2017

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The housing inventory continues to fall and is located below 250 thousand units. CNBV publishes its Report on Financial Savings and Financing in Mexico with figures to March 2017. Banco de México publishes a tool to analyse the conditions of automotive loans. Key regulation issues for Fintechs and financial services

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Real Estate Outlook. First Half 2017

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The slowdown in construction has continued with growth of 1.8%, closing 2016 with an increase of 4.2% in building and a decline of 9.4% in civil engineering

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. July 2017

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Mortgage rates are firmly on the rise. The CNBV has released an update on its Financial Inclusion Report. Banxico has updated its report on housing loan indicators. Payroll loans have become more sluggish in spite of the improved conditions as regards the sum borrowed and the lending rate

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English