Searcher
Ismael Mendoza
Ismael Mendoza
Senior Economist
Peru

Ismael Mendoza Mogollón is a Research Economist at BBVA Peru since August 2015. He is focused in monitoring and assessing macroeconomic and external variables, as well as forecasting these variables using econometric models and financial programming.


He was previously an External Sector Analyst in the General Directorate of Macroeconomic Policy and Fiscal Decentralization of the Ministry of Economy and Finance, area which is directly involved in the design of fiscal policy.


His research interests are focused on macroeconomic and financial issues, and he has published on these subjects.


He graduated from the Master in Economics from Universidad del Pacífico (Lima, Peru) and has a Bachelor degree in Economics from the National University of Piura. He has taken the course of University Extension Central Reserve Bank of Peru, as well as courses organized by the International Monetary Fund and the Center for Latin American Monetary Studies.


Latest publications

The boom in agricultural exports has been one of the greatest achievements of the Peruvian economy over the past twenty years. This has been particularly true for fruits and vegetables, mainly sent to Europe and the US. This performance has placed Peru among the most important global suppliers for some products.
We estimate output growth for 1H19 around 2%YoY, accelerating to roughly 4% in 2H19. As a result, Peru’s GDP will grow 2,9% in 2019, one percentage point less than our previous estimate from three months ago. For 2020, we anticipate growth will approach 4%.
Activity slowed at the beginning of the year due to the decline in public investment and mining production. Going forward, there will be a better performance .We continue foreseeing GDP will grow by 3.9% in 2019 supported by mining investment. However, in comparison with the previous report, now our forecast has a downward bias.