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Marlon Broncano
Marlon Broncano

Economist

Marlon Broncano is Economist of BBVA Research Peru. His specialty is the analysis and projections of macroeconomic variables using econometric models and financial programming.

 

Previously to this position, Marlon Broncano was External Sector Analyst in General Directorate of Macroeconomic Policy of the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Peru.

 

He is currently a student of the Master in Economics at Pontifical Catholic University of Peru and has a degree in Economics from National University of Piura. He has taken courses organized by the International Monetary Fund, as well as courses in the Central Reserve Bank of Peru and the Economic and Social Research Consortium.


Latest Publications

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

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We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

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We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

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We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

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We have revised our growth projection downwards, from 4.1% to 3.5%. The delay in infrastructure construction, one of the main risk factors considered in the report that we published last quarter, materialised in early 2017.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation "Paraguay Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016″

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We expect GDP to grow by 2.9% next year. Growth will be supported by the start of infrastructure works and a gradual recovery in consumption

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Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016

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We estimate that the Peruvian economy will grow by about 3.9% in 2016 and by 4.1% in 2017 when infrastructure projects will provide support.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2016

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We stand by our GDP growth forecasts for the Peruvian economy of 3.6% in 2016 and 4.3% in 2017. Higher mining production and the implementation of large-scale infrastructure works will shore up the growth in GDP over the next few quarters.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Paraguay Economic Outlook First Half 2016

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Growth of around 3.0% in 2016 and 2017. Domestic demand, due to infrastructure projects, will be the main driver of growth. Lower depreciation of the currency but with episodes of volatility. Inflation will continue to be contained around the mid-range of the target. Central Bank would keep its policy monetary rate. Main risks: more pronounced slowdown in Brazil and China.

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Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Inflation continues to fall…

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The CPI rose 0.21% in May. During the month the upward impact of higher exchange rate, the increase in the cigarette excise tax, and higher oil prices were observed. Thus, the annual rate of inflation stood at 3.5%, and we anticipate that it will continue to moderate due to normalization of food prices and lower depreciation of currency.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2016

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We continue anticipating that the Peruvian economy will grow 3.6% in 2016 and 4.3% in the following year. The main drivers of this growth will be increased mining production, particularly of copper due to major mines coming on-stream, and increased public and private sector capital expenditure on infrastructure projects.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Exports fell nearly 9% yoy in February

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Exports fell nearly 9% yoy in February, lower than previous month rate. This outturn was explained by lower prices, mainly in metals. However, this fall was partially offset by volumes due to higher traditional exports.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish

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Peru Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2016

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We forecast that the Peruvian economy will grow by 3.6% in 2016 and by somewhat more than 4% in 2017, boosted by increased mining production and expenditure on infrastructure.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Trade deficit was enlarged in 2015, but we anticipate an improvement in 2016

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In 2015, the trade deficit registered USD 3.5 billion (-1.8% of GDP). This result was explained by the decline in export value, which was offset by lower imports.

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Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2015

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We forecast a growth below 3.0% in 2015 and 2016. Increased copper production and construction work on major infrastructure will be the mainstays of 2016’s GDP growth. This forecast incorporates the effects of a strong El Niño weather phenomenon.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English