BBVA Research Department since 1999 (2005- US Team)
•The World Bank, Ministry of Education, Republic Bank
•BA Studies Economics (ITAM)
•MsC & PhD Studies Economics (Warwick)
Seven candidates qualified for the Democratic debate on 12/19. Party nomination starts with Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. Super Tuesday on March 3; over 50% of delegates by end of March.
Probability of recession in 12 months at one-year lows (30%). Financial conditions remain solid after Fed “mid-cycle” adjustment. Strong household finances supporting consumption.