BBVA Research Department since 1999 (2005- US Team)
•The World Bank, Ministry of Education, Republic Bank
•BA Studies Economics (ITAM)
•MsC & PhD Studies Economics (Warwick)
Just under a year ago, the Federal Reserve (Fed) began a process to review its monetary policy strategy, tools and communication practices.
Models suggest more than 70% probability of recession within the next 24 months. Shadow banking, business debt and risk appetite represent major red flags. Dovish Fed response has potential to negate downside risks in short-term.