After weeks of disappointing data, rising trade tensions and renewed fears of slower global growth, the Fed set the stage for a monetary easing cycle, in line with our view.
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Nathaniel Karp
Chief Economist
USA
BBVA Research Department since 1999 (2005- US Team)
•The World Bank, Ministry of Education, Republic Bank
•BA Studies Economics (ITAM)
•MsC & PhD Studies Economics (Warwick)
Latest publications
Just under a year ago, the Federal Reserve (Fed) began a process to review its monetary policy strategy, tools and
communication practices.
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Models suggest more than 70% probability of recession within the next 24 months. Shadow banking, business debt and risk appetite represent major red flags. Dovish Fed response has potential to negate downside risks in short-term.
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