Searcher
Nathaniel Karp
Nathaniel Karp
Chief Economist
USA

BBVA Research Department since 1999 (2005- US Team)

•The World Bank, Ministry of Education, Republic Bank

•BA Studies Economics (ITAM)

•MsC & PhD Studies Economics (Warwick)

Latest publications

Seven candidates qualified for the Democratic debate on 12/19. Party nomination starts with Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. Super Tuesday on March 3; over 50% of delegates by end of March.
As we expected, the Fed lefts its benchmark interest rate by unchanged at 1.5-1.75% and made only minor adjustments to the October statement.
Probability of recession in 12 months at one-year lows (30%). Financial conditions remain solid after Fed “mid-cycle” adjustment. Strong household finances supporting consumption.