Paulo Sánchez
Paulo Sánchez
Senior Economist

Paulo Sánchez is a senior economist at BBVA Research for Colombia. He is responsible for sector analysis and the forecasting of sector variables.

Previously, Paulo was a senior research analyst at the Colombian Stock Exchange dealing with the development of econometric models for the prediction of financial and economic variables. He also worked as a senior professional in the development of predictive models at Banco Davivienda and was research assistant at Fedesarrollo and the econometric unit of Banco de la República.

He obtained his degree of economist at the Colombian School of Engineering "Julio Garavito" and then obtained a specialization in statistics at Univesidad Nacional de Colombia. He has a master's degree in applied economics from the Universidad de los Andes and is IBM Data Science Profesisonal Certicate.

Latest publications

Associated with the change in fundamental saving and investment variables that the Colombian economy has undergone in the recent decade, the structural current account and exchange rate are estimated in light of these changes. Likewise, forecasts are made for these variables up to December 2023.
The Colombian economy starts its recovery process from the second half of 2020. It will grow 4.8% in 2021 and 3.8% in 2022 boosted by private consumption and investment. Inflation will gradually return to its target in 2021 and the Central Bank will hold rates at low levels during 2021.
The Covid-19 shock may cause changes in the economic trends and their impact on the productive sectors. Therefore, the main global trends that will determine growth until 2025 are chosen and scenarios are created for them. Then, using a SUR model, the sectoral impact is estimated.