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Rodrigo Falbo
Rodrigo Falbo
BBVA Research - Principal Economist

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Inflation moderated less than expected in the first two months of ‘24 constrained by the modest decline in services. Our supply bottlenecks indicators inched up in February 2024 but remain at very low levels.
The downward trend in core inflation persisted in December, helped by a decline in core goods inflation. Headline inflation increased due to base effects. Geopolitical risk in Middle East East worsened, in turn pushing up freight costs. Our supply bottlenecks indicators inched up in December but remain at low levels.
Headline inflation has been trending down but recently this trend has halted. Core inflation remains sticky. Our supply bottlenecks indicator shows no sign of supply disruptions.