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Shushanik Papanyan

Latest Publications

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: Technology empowered consumers and employment

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of December 4, 2017. Special topic: technology, the consumer of the future, and the shaping of industries

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. November 2017

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A December Federal funds rate increase to the 1.25%-1.50% range is warranted given upbeat third quarter economic performance with the GDP annualized growth rate revised upward to 3.3% and unemployment at a 17 year low

Available in English

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U.S. | Technology Puts the Consumer in the Driver’s Seat for Shaping Industries

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Digital technology will continue to empower consumers, granting them deeper product and pricing transparency, control over different layers of the value chain, and refinement of experiences. Survivalist mode will compel consumers to search for new ways to be frugal, facilitating the next-generation of the sharing economy.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: tax reform and growth, and select upcoming economic indicators

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of November 13, 2017. Special topic: will tax reform deliver faster economic growth?

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. October 2017

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The November FOMC meeting is not expected to deliver any policy course alteration. Financial markets will remain watchful of the statement’s tweaks on inflation wording.

Available in English

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. September 2017

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The FOMC announced the start of the balance sheet normalization process to begin in October while maintained the Fed funds rate target range at 1%-1.25%

Available in English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: Libor, inflation and retail sales

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of September 11, 2017. Special topic: transitioning away from Libor

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. August 2017

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Minutes from the July FOMC meeting revealed that some members continue to raise concern with tame inflation. However, FOMC members have echoed agreement to start shrinking the balance sheet soon

Available in English

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U.S. | Libor: Is there a right time to pull the switch? And what are the risks of delay?

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Financial institutions and traders can face operational risks if the switch to an alternative benchmark is delayed. A paced transition plan will be introduced for U.S. institutions. The Fed will likely ensure that institutions follow the plan and switch from Libor

Available in Spanish, English

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When Robots Do It All and Leisure is Mandatory

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Engineers insist that sometime between 2030 and 2050 is when fiction will become reality, and artificial intelligence (AI) will exceed that of a human. Economists have a different answer - it will be at least another 100 years before that point. Who is right?

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: yield curve, retail sales and housing starts

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of August 14, 2017. Special topic: the U.S. yield curve

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. July 2017

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The FOMC voted unanimously to leave its benchmark rate unchanged, between 1% and 1.25%, signaling a “relatively soon” taper of maturing Treasuries and mortgage securities reinvestments, in their July meeting

Available in English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: when robots do it all and leisure is mandatory

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Machines are likely to take over many tasks that humans perform, but they are not likely to seize many occupations entirely. The necessity of flexible labor retraining programs is essential. The major documented impact of automation on labor has been a decline in worker hours.

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. June 2017

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The FOMC raised the Fed funds rate 25bp to 1.25% after the June meeting. In addition, it signaled a firm intention to raise rates one more time in 2017 and provided clear guidance on balance sheet normalization as it prepares to roll off the process in coming months

Available in English

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U.S. | When Robots Do It All and Leisure is Mandatory: Not for another 100 years

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Advancements in machine learning, mobile robotics, and computing power have led to machines that are increasingly capable of performing non-routine tasks and navigating in real time. Artificial intelligence is gaining traction as an attractive investment within the tech industry

Available in Spanish, English