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Colombia Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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GDP growth will accelerate, reaching a rate of 2.0% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019, driven by private spending. Inflation will converge to the 3.0% target and will allow the Central Bank to reduce its rate to 4.0% in the second quarter of this year. The exchange rate will depreciate in the second half of 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Spain Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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The Spanish economy will grow 2.9% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019, above those forecasted three months ago. The favorable external environment and the lower long-term financing cost offset the impact of economic policy uncertainty. This scenario is consistent with the creation of one million jobs and the reduction of the unemployment rate below 14%.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Castile and Leon Economic Outlook 2018

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The economy of Castile and Leon grew 1.9% in 2017 and GDP is expected to accelerate its growth to 2.5% in 2018 and 2.4% in 2019. This will add around 35,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 9.9%. Although pre-crisis GDP will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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China Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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Q1 economic indicators are robust. The outturns of trade, industrial production and investment are better than expected. However, headwinds remain in place, mainly from domestic tightening policy and trade skirmishes with the US, which, in our baseline scenario, is unlikely to evolve into a full-blown trade war. Growth is most likely to moderate through the year.

Available in English

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Extremadura Economic Outlook 2018

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The economy of Extremadura grew 2.4% in 2017 and will grow 2.7% in 2018 and 2.4% in 2019. This will add around 10,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 23,3%. Although pre-crisis GDP will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Financial Regulation Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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US treasury’s review of the Orderly Liquidation Authority. IFRS 9: Supervisory practices, behavioural impacts and regulatory interactions. Brexit negotiations. European low-risk asset for the euro zone. Sustainability: the New Normal in Finance. EU proposal for Covered Bonds: a challenge for the Spanish market. Main regulatory actions around the world.

Geographies:Global

Available in English

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Mexico Banking Outlook. First half 2018

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In 2017, credit to the non-financial private sector (consumer, companies and housing) and traditional bank deposits (sight + term) both slowed down. In the case of credit, in 2017 the portfolio only grew by half the growth rate observed in the previous year.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Galicia Economic Outlook. First Half 2018

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The economy of Galicia could have grown 2.8% in 2017 and will grow at least 2.6% in 2018 and 2.3% in 2019. This will add around 27,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 12.1%. Although pre-crisis GDP will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Balearic Islands Economic Outlook 2018

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The economy of the Balearic Islands is estimated to have grown at 4.1% in 2017. Looking ahead, regional GDP is expected to grow by 3.0% in 2018 and 2.6% in 2019. This would allow the creation of 36,000 new jobs and would reduce the unemployment rate to 7.1% at the end of 2019, very close to the historical low reached in 3Q16 (5.5%).

Available in Spanish

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Digital Economy Outlook. First quarter 2018

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In this issue we focus on: The framework for digital regulation in Latin America: How to balance innovation and safety?; Decentralized Applications (DApps): The building blocks of the future Internet; Instant payments; The cloud vs. mainframe conundrum; Enhancing Economic Empowerment through Financial Inclusion.

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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We are maintaining our forecast for growth in 2018 at 2.0%, driven by private consumption and the consolidation of exports. In 2017, the primary balance of the public sector was positive for the first time since 2008. After the temporary increase in 4Q17, inflation has resumed its downward trend in 1Q18 as we forecast.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Aragon Economic Outlook. First semester 2018

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The economy of Aragon could have grown 3.2% in 2017 and will grow at least 2.4% both in 2018 and 2019. This will add around 21,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 7.7%. Although pre-crisis GDP and GDP per capita will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Valencian Community Economic Outlook. First half 2018

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The economy of Valencian Community grew 3.2% in 2017 and will grow 2.4% both in 2018 and 2019. This will add around 100,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 13.3%. Although pre-crisis GDP per capita will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Mexico Real Estate Outlook. First half 2018

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The trend in construction continues to show lower growth than that of the economy in general. In the third quarter, the fall of the accumulated GDP of the sector is -1.2% as an annual rate, largely due to civil works, which have fallen by 11%. Building will close with a growth of 0.5%. Civil works will not rebound due to the adjustments in public expenditure.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Banking Outlook. February 2018

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While the deleveraging of the banking system appears to be nearing its end, the number of employees and branches in the sector continues to fall. Solvency and asset quality have further improved. Income remains somewhat weak affected by current interest rates and spending is controlled, but the sector is feeling the impact of the Banco Popular resolution.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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