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China Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

By ,

After six months of uneasiness caused by trade tensions, China’s economy proved its resilience when its announced 2019 Q1 GDP figure, along with a series of other activity indicators, surprised the market to the upside. Good growth figure in Q1 has largely relieved people’s concern of a hard-landing in China this year, which was prevalent in the market three months ago.

Geographies:Asia China

Available in English

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Argentina Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

By , , , , ,

We revised slightly to the downside the growth of 2019 to -1.2% due to the prolongation of the monetary astringency, maintaining the vision of a positive quarterly growth since 1Q19. Inflation will fall more gradually than expected, reaching 35% YoY due to the volatility of the exchange rate and the higher indexation of the economy.

Geographies:Argentina

Available in Spanish, English

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Available in Spanish, English

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Canary Islands Economic Outlook 2019

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The economy of the Canary Islands would have grown by 2.5% in 2018. It is expected to advance by 2.4% in 2019 and moderate to 1.8% in 2020, linking seven consecutive years of economic recovery. This will add around 47,000 new jobs between the end of 2018 and 2020, but the unemployment rate shall be 18.6% in 2020.

Available in Spanish

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Extremadura Economic Outlook 2019

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The GDP of Extremadura would have grown by 2.6% in 2018, 0.5 p.p. above the growth of 2017, and is expected to increase by 2.4% in 2019 and 1.9% in 2020. This will add around thirteen thousand new jobs between the end of 2018 and 2020 and the unemployment rate shall drop to 21.2%, still 5.8 p.p. above the 2007 minimum.

Available in Spanish

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Banking Outlook. March 2019

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The quarterly earnings obtained in 3Q18 by the system (4,033 million euros) was the highest since the third quarter of 2009. In the first nine months of the year, earnings were 10,685 million euros versus losses of 4,961 million in the same period of 2017, a period in which the resolution of Banco Popular had an impact.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Banking Outlook. First half 2019

By , , ,

In 2018, the main source of growth in bank credit granted to the private sector was that allocated to companies. Traditional deposits reverse their downward trend, albeit at a moderate pace. Consumer Credit: recent developments and analysis of the slowdown in its growth rate. Mexican corporations’ foreign debt: the scenario changes, but risks for the bank remain limited.

Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Madrid Economic Outlook. First half 2019

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The economy of Madrid grew 3.1% in 2018 and will grow 2.8% in 2019 and 2.3% in 2020. This will add around 100,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 10.8%. Although pre-crisis GDP per capita will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge. However, measures must be promoted so that the recovery may be inclusive.

Geographies:Spain Madrid

Available in Spanish

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Balearic Islands Economic Outlook 2019

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The economy of the Balearic Islands would have grown by 2.4% in 2018, is expected to advance by 2.2% in 2019 and moderate to 1.7% in 2020, linking seven consecutive years of economic recovery, with an average growth of 2.8% annually. This will add around 33,000 new jobs between the end of 2018 and 2020 and the unemployment rate shall drop to 9.5%.

Available in Spanish

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Valencian Community Economic Outlook. First half 2019

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The economy of Valencian Community grew 2.5% in 2018 and will grow 2.3% in 2019 and 1.9% in 2020. This will add around 75,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 11.2%. Although pre-crisis GDP per capita will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge. However, measures must be promoted so that the recovery may be inclusive.

Available in Spanish

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Castile and Leon Economic Outlook 2019

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The economy of Castile and León Aragon may have grown 2.2% in 2018, and will reach 2.3% in 2019, to moderate to 1.9% in 2020. It will create over 35,000 new jobs by 2020, although some risks are more likely to materialize now, than they were some months ago. Total employment will be still far from its pre-crisis level. Inclusive growth is a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Andalusia Economic Outlook. First half 2019

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The economy of Andalusia would have grown by 2.3% in 2018. The recovery will continue in 2019 and 2020, with a GDP growth of 2.3 and 1.9%. 140,000 jobs will be created by the end of 2020, although some risks are more likely now than a few months ago. The unemployment rate and unemployment will continue far from pre-crisis. Inclusive growth is a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Aragon Economic Outlook 2019

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The economy of Aragon may have grown 2.6% in 2018, and will moderate to 2.4% in 2019 and 2.0% in 2020. It will create over 14,000 new jobs by 2020, although some risks are more likely to materialize now, than they were some months ago. Total employment will be still far from its pre-crisis level. Inclusive growth is a challenge.

Available in Spanish

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Spain Economic Outlook. First quarter 2019

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The recovery of the Spanish economy will carry on in the coming years, although the slowdown in growth continues. GDP is expected to grow by 2.4% in 2019 and by 2% in 2020. In this context, job creation is expected to continue, in an environment of soft adjustment of world growth and growing internal and external uncertainty.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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United States Economic Outlook. First quarter 2019

By , , , ,

Although the U.S. maintains significant advantages such as the strongest military, the world’s reserve currency, the largest economy and the highest ranked universities, there are growing concerns that the country is losing the technological race.

Geographies:USA

Available in Spanish, English

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