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La Rioja Economic Outlook 2018

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The economy of La Rioja grew by 1.8% in 2017, and will accelerate to 2.6% in 2018 and 2019. The region will create around 4,500 new jobs by the end of 2019, although the likelihood of some of the risk to this scenario has grown.

Available in Spanish

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Financial Regulation Outlook. Third quarter 2018

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Finalisation of Basel III: what comes next?. Funding in resolution. Regulation is coming: pending issues. New STS securitisations in Europe. Strengthening the Banking Union. Adapting the organisation to the digital era. U.S. financial regulation: relief and recalibration.

Geographies:Global Europe

Available in Spanish, English

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Madrid Economic Outlook. First half 2018

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The economy of Madrid grew by 3.4% in 2017, and will continue growing at the same pace in 2018, and 2.7% in 2019. The region will create around 156,000 new jobs by the end of 2019, despite the weakening of some external factors.

Available in Spanish

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Murcia Economic Outlook 2018

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The economy of the Canary Islands grew by 3.3% in 2017, and will continue growing by a further 3.3% in 2018 and by 2.6% in 2019. The region will create around 30,000 new jobs by the end of 2019, despite the weakening of some external factors.

Available in Spanish

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Andalusia Economic Outlook. First half 2018

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The economy of Andalusia grew 2.7% in 2017 and will grow 2.7% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019. This will add around 190,000 new jobs in the period and unemployment shall drop to 19.8%. Although pre-crisis GDP per capita will be recovered, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge

Available in Spanish

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Insurance Outlook. First semester 2018

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Insurance projections for 2018 and 2019 show a general improvement, once corrected the volatility in the life savings branch during 2017. Insurance online purchases are still very low in Spain compared with the European Union, but their growth is very significant. According to BBVA big data, car insurance is the most purchased one by card online.

Geographies:Spain
Topics:Insurance

Available in Spanish

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Banking Outlook. May 2018

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Adjustments to the number of employees and branches in the sector continue, despite the deleveraging of the private sector seems to be coming to an end. The sector is feeling the effects of the resolution and sale of Banco Popular in June 2017 and posted after-tax losses of €3.9 billion for the year, although it achieved further improvements in solvency and asset quality.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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Basque Country Economic Outlook 2018

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The economy of the Basque Country grew 3.1% in 2017; GDP growth is expected to keep its rate at 3.1% in 2018 and slow down to 2.8% in 2019. This will add around 30,000 new jobs in the period and average unemployment shall drop to 8.8%. Creating more and better jobs remains as the main challenge.

Available in Basque, Spanish

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Real Estate Situation Spain. May 2018

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In 2017 the real estate sector grew for the fourth year in a row, posting most dynamism in regions that had not led the recovery, partly thanks to the healthy demand for secondary residences. In 2018 the sector will continue to evolve unevenly among regions and will show more moderate growth rates, as indicated by the first data available for the year.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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United States Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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As the calendar turned to May, the economic expansion became the second longest in modern history. If trends continue, by July 2019 it will become the longest ever, an event that under current economic conditions has a high likelihood of materializing.

Geographies:USA

Available in Spanish, English

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Latin America Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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Latin America maintains its recovery amidst external turbulence. Growth will increase from 1.2% in 2017, to 1.4% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019. The main external risks centre on protectionism and on China. On the domestic front, political noise and the possible delay in public and private investment is an upside risk in a number of countries.

Geographies:Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

We forsee growth of 3.2% in 2018 and 3.5% for next year. The forecasts take into account a favourable international environment for Peru. On the domestic front we are assuming a calmer political scenario, a fiscal stimulus in 2018 and a commencement of the deficit reduction by the government next year.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Argentina Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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The economy continues to grow but at a slower pace due to the impact of a severe drought that affects the central agricultural area at the beginning of 2018. Inflation accelerates more than expected in the first four months of the year, but will be reduced in the second half due to: i) exchange stability and ii) wage agreements in line with the 15% target.

Units:
Geographies:Argentina

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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GDP growth will accelerate, reaching a rate of 2.0% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019, driven by private spending. Inflation will converge to the 3.0% target and will allow the Central Bank to reduce its rate to 4.0% in the second quarter of this year. The exchange rate will depreciate in the second half of 2018.

Units:

Available in Spanish, English

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Spain Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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The Spanish economy will grow 2.9% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019, above those forecasted three months ago. The favorable external environment and the lower long-term financing cost offset the impact of economic policy uncertainty. This scenario is consistent with the creation of one million jobs and the reduction of the unemployment rate below 14%.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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