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Big Data at BBVA Research

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Big Data Workshop on economics and finance. Bank of Spain: 1. Opportunities in the digital era. Big Data at BBVA Research; 2. Big Data & Big Models: Applying Big Data at BBVA Research (BBVA Data, News Data (GDELT), Policy Documents).

Available in English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. January 2018

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The ​FOMC left Fed funds rate unchanged. An increase in yields is supported by a soft but sustained increase in Inflation expectations. Term premium remains negative coupled with a low market volatility environment. The baseline remains for a gradual increase in long-term yields with an upward bias for 2018 year-end long-term rates.

Available in English

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Presentation Latin America Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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Latin America growths 1.7% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019, after growing 1.1% in 2017. The strong inflationary pressures are still relative bounded, except in Argentina and Mexico. The risks around the forecast of growth are biased to the low, but they become stable with respect three months ago.

Geographies:Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Global Funds Outlook 4Q17 | Still sunny in Emerging Markets. Clouds in the horizon?

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In 4Q17, solid net inflows to Global Investment Funds (GIF) continued to decelerate, but only slightly backed by global factors: macro outlook, oil prices and subdued volatility. Inflows to GIF shall continue to cool down as the unwinding of central bank balance sheets starts draining liquidity off the markets. Our baseline scenario assumes a smooth normalization process.

Available in Spanish, English

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Brazil Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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The economy has recovered faster than expected in 2017. Taking this and the improvements in the global environment into account, we revised our growth forecasts upwards. We expect that, after growing 1.0% in 2017, GDP will grow 2.1% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019. However, the materialization of political and fiscal risks could bring the recovery process to an end.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Spain Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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The Spanish economy will grow 3.1% in 2017 and 2.5% in 2018, in line with what was expected in November. Furthermore, despite economic policy uncertainty present in the environment, we expect the recovery to continue in 2019 (2.3%) and the improvement in the economy to start to entail a growth in salaries.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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Economic recovery in Colombia will consolidate in 2018, especially in the second semester. Inflation will continue to decelerate in 2018 closing at 3,1%. The Central Bank will be able to reduce interest rates in the first half of 2018 to 4,0%. Structural imbalances continue to adjust, though in the fiscal front there are some challenges in 2019.

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Real Estate Outlook 2017

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Apartments sales in Lima was reactivated in 2017 after a period of uncertainty related to the general elections, especially since the third quarter, when the economy began to show some signs of recovery. However, according to the number of purchase searches carried out on the internet, sales would moderate in 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Advances in digitalisation

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Peru is still lagging behind the region in the process of digitalisation. However, there have been advances such as the increased use of the internet by families, a reduction in the concentration of companies offering internet services and improvements in infrastructure. Going forward, it is anticipated that these favourable trends will continue.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S.| Interest Rates Chartbook. December 2017

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The ​FOMC increased the Fed funds rate to 1.25%-1.50%. Fed funds futures steepen on an optimistic economic growth outlook for 2018. The 10-year Treasury yield has moved sideways in 2017. The baseline is for a gradual increase in long-term yields with the yield curve slope flattening by an additional 15 basis points.

Available in English

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U.S. | Oil Prices Outlook 2018-2022. December 2017

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Further price increases in the short-run supported by robust demand and inventory correction. Geopolitical factors could lift prices further. In the mid-term, supply is expected to catch up with higher prices, intensifying the fight for market share.

Available in English

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U.S. | Interest Rates Chartbook. November 2017

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A December Federal funds rate increase to the 1.25%-1.50% range is warranted given upbeat third quarter economic performance with the GDP annualized growth rate revised upward to 3.3% and unemployment at a 17 year low

Available in English

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Crossroads, trends and challenges in an uncertain world

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Long-term drivers in a troublesome world: geopolitics are extremely troubling, populism is rising and is here to stay, long term economic facts, protectionism is a still a (high) risk, digitalization and robotics are all around and macro policy framework is changing.

Available in English

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The impact of technological change and the future of employment

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This presentation provides a panoramic and historical perspective on the the effects of technical progress; it analyses the effects of the fourth industrial revolution; and talks about the different policies to regulate the changes of this technological and digital transformation.

Available in Spanish

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