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Resilience of mortgage lending

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If economic crises serve for anything it is for us all to learn from our mistakes. Now that the worst is behind us, we should have been thinking for some time now about how to fix what didn’t work and how to safeguard what did.

Geographies:Europe

Available in Spanish, English

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Digital transformation and competition in the financial sector

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Digital transformation has opened the financial services market to new kinds of providers with great disruptive potential, including big technology companies. This article explores how the scope of that integration is conditioned by regulation, data access rules and competition policy.

Available in Spanish, English

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Fanning and damping

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China’s economy focuses world attention, both because of the size it has attained in the past few decades of rapid growth and in view of the unique combination of (ever less) centrally planned and (ever more) market-based economy that has succeeded in lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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This year will be different

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A few years ago, Reinhart and Rogoff, two renowned academics, wrote about how in every crisis economists, politicians and the rest of the world seek to convince us that this time the imbalances that end up leading to crisis are not really imbalances as such.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Risks facing the Spanish economy in 2019

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The Spanish economy will have grown between 0.4% and 0.5% less in 2018 than in 2017 (+3%), with indications that the slowdown will continue in 2019, in a context of increased uncertainty.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Spain's Galicia region will once again grow more than the country as a whole in 2019

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Galicia has been, in recent years, one of Spain's most dynamic regional economies. According to data from Spanish Regional Accounting, it is the region with the third highest cumulative growth between 2015 and 2017. Thus, it is just below Catalonia and Murcia, and above others such as Madrid, Castile-La Mancha and the Balearic Islands.

Geographies:Galicia

Available in Spanish, English

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The uncertainty rocking the markets

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The high volatility and sharp falls in stock markets which have been dominating global markets these past few days leave a bitter year-end taste and raise quite a few questions for 2019. This past year 2018 was never going to be easy, with the environment of abundant liquidity and low interest rates drawing to a close.

Available in Spanish, English

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2018, a year that started better than it ended

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After a year (2017) that had been very positive for the world economy, especially in light of the strong recovery in international trade, the start of 2018 augured well for the year thanks to the momentum from 2017 and the cyclicalcoming together of the three major regions, USA, Europe and China.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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What will be the trends in financial regulation in 2019?

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In 2018, the financial regulatory reform approved after the crisis by the G20 and the Financial Stability Board (FSB) was considered virtually complete and the focus was supposed to be on implementing the reforms already initiated.

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Using international reserves – a bad idea for Mexico's economy

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A few weeks ago, a group of legislators from Mexico's Labour Party (Partido del Trabajo, PT) said that Parliament should discuss the possibility of using the Central Bank's international reserves in the fight against poverty. I understand that this sounds like an attractive proposition.

Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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ECB, the real challenge is yet to come

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Last Thursday the European Central Bank (ECB) announced that it was ending its asset purchase programme or APP, better known as QE or quantitative easing, four years after it had come into effect. With the benefit of hindsight and the experience of the United States, here are some reflections brought about by the announcement.

Geographies:Europe

Available in Spanish, English

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Central banks and sustainable finance: From exoticism to stoicism

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Ten years after the outbreak of the global crisis that led, among other things, to an unprecedented change in the international supervisory architecture and a regulatory tsunami, do you think anyone anticipated in 2008 that central banks and financial supervisors would be called upon to play a key role with regard to the risks of climate change? I didn't.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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The G20 should stop just taking note sooner rather than later

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Last Saturday the G20 summit was held in Argentina. What better opportunity to discuss the trade war than the meeting of representatives of countries that account for more than 75% of global growth, investment and trade.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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The outlook for oil prices

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It has become common to see spikes in oil prices. Since October the price of Brent crude has fallen by 30% to around US$59 per barrel, its lowest level since October last year.

Available in Spanish, English

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Employment and productivity in the digital age

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Since the invention of the steam engine at the end of the eighteenth century, technological innovation has been the main source of growth in developed economies. In particular, it is the key reason why today’s average Spanish worker earns eight times as much as at the beginning of the twentieth century, for one third fewer hours.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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