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Europe is picking up on several fronts

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Nobody will have failed to notice that Europe’s economy is responding better than many had thought a little over a year ago, when there was not much faith in the sustainability of growth. Moreover, the outcome of the Brexit referendum and the problematical election schedule had increased the risks looking ahead into 2017.

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Inflation, on a downward course for 2018

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The most recent inflation figure, corresponding to the first half of November, surprised on the upside. After falling in September and October, headline inflation showed an upturn from 6.4% to 6.6%. This increases the likelihood that the Banco de México will increase its monetary policy rate as a preventive measure

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Causes of change in inequality of consumption

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Inequality in Spanish household income has increased during the crisis. However, in terms of consumption, inequality decreased. Accordingly, while wealthier families reduced spending by 17.2% between 2007 and 2015, those economically disadvantaged reduced it only by 7.6%.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Outgoing central bankers

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A couple of weeks ago, the conference organised in Frankfurt by the European Central Bank (ECB), to discuss the challenges of communicating monetary policy, offered up the opportunity for a photo of the chairs of the four main central banks,

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

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From inspiration to action: COP24

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Climate change as a result of human activity is a fact, as is its impact on the economy and the financial system. In this last area its has evolved from being a reputational consideration into the study of how to manage the physical risks and transitional risks.

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Digital transformation and employment

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The effects of automation, artificial intelligence, big data and the internet of things on future employment and social wellbeing are full of uncertainty.

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The new accounting standard: pros and cons

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The global financial crisis revealed that the banks had not got the resources sufficient to handle a recession as far-reaching as it turned out to be, of a magnitude only comparable with the Great Depression of the 1930s. To prevent anything similar from happening again, the G20 sponsored new accounting rules in creating new banking provisions known as IFRS 9.

Geographies:Global
Topics:Banks Opinion

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Trump and the Silk Road

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US president Donald Trump has just completed his first presidential tour of Asia, where he attended APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) and ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) summits.

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Uncertainty and economic projections

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The political crisis in Catalonia, and its effects on recovery, has in recent weeks cast a shadow over the economic debate, specifically now that the world economy and Europe are growing in a robust, stable and very synchronized manner. We stand before a situation without precedent.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico addresses United States Tax Reform

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In the United States a reduction is envisaged in the federal tax rate on companies from 35 to 20%. In Mexico there are voices saying this would be more serious for the country’s economy than the breakdown of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). This is nonsense.

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Geographies:Mexico

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Uncertain impact of uncertainty

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The economic impact of the tensions currently being experienced in Catalonia is difficult to gauge. One way in which attempts have been made to do so is by constructing indices that seek to calibrate the level of uncertainty felt by households and businesses.

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Pianissimo

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In October economists Olivier Blanchard and Larry Summers coordinated a conference on “Rethinking macroeconomic policy”, a debating forum on the challenges posed for economic policy by the new environment of low levels of inflation and interest rates combined with slow growth in productivity and increasing inequality.

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A little more, a little less said at the IMF meetings this autumn

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Two weeks have gone by since the autumn meetings of the International Monetary Fund, where the organisation once again increased its forecast for global growth. Today I want to go over the three macroeconomic subjects on which there was consensus and to highlight the two items that drew my attention the most.

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Mexico | Plan B: strengthen the domestic market and the rule of law

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In recent days we have again seen that there is still a risk of the Trump administration's leaving the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The exchange rate reflects this fear

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Geographies:Mexico

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Argentina: elections and reforms

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The Cambiemos administration, led by President Macri, will begin its third year of office strengthened by the result of the mid-term elections last Sunday. The ruling party won 41% of the votes for national deputies and won 13 of the 24 Argentine provinces, including the city of Buenos Aires.

Units:
Geographies:Argentina

Available in Spanish, English

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