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Portugal: growth slows in 2Q17

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 2Q17 decelerated to reach 0.3% QoQ, in line with the BBVA Research estimate (0.4% QoQ) and below that seen in 1Q17 (1.0% QoQ). Based on data so far available, BBVA Research estimates that growth in 3Q17 will be around 0.5% QoQ.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth forecast for 2017 and 2018 raised

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Available data point to a stabilisation of GDP growth during 2Q17 at around 0.5% QoQ, SWDA1. This estimate is likely to be the result of the continued growth of private consumption and the positive contribution of both the construction sector and tourism.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

By , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth once again surprise positively in 1Q17

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 1Q17 accelerated to 1.0% QoQ, surpassing the BBVA Research estimate (0.2% QoQ). The quarterly growth was due to the positive contribution of external demand (0.8pp), given the strength exports have once again shown in a context of import slowdown.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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The internationalisation and digitalisation of the portuguese economy

By , , , , ,

Dual economy in which many firms do not promote the accumulation of human capital,innovation and trade in international markets. The size of firms and its determinants, product market regulations and the environment for doing business are of paramount importance. All this in a more globalised world economy undergoing an unprecedented and disruptive technological revolution

Geographies:Portugal

Available in English

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Portugal: growth could return to around 0.2% QoQ in 1Q17

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Available data points to a slowdown in GDP growth in 1Q17 to 0.2% QoQ, SWDA, similar to the levels seen in the first half of 2016. During the coming quarters GDP growth could settle at between 0.3% and 0.4% in line with growth of 1.7% on average in 2017, above the 1.4% seen in 2016.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: GDP growth forecasts for 2018 reviewed upwards to 1.7%

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Growth of the Portuguese economy in 4Q16 reached 0.6% QoQ1, once again causing positive surprise (BBVA Research forecast 0.3% QoQ), albeit lower than that seen in the previous quarter (0.9% QoQ). As a result Portugal ended 2016 with GDP growth of 1.4% YoY, less than the 1.6% YoY posted in 2015, but slightly more than the BBVA Research forecast of mid-2016 (1.2%).

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth could return to around 0.3% QoQ in 4Q16

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The growth of the Portuguese economy during 3Q16 reached 0.8% QoQ1, with a surprise acceleration in the growth levels from the levels around 0.3% QoQ seen in the first half of the year. The foreign sector was the main cause of this growth, with a strong increase in exports and an unexpected decline in imports.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Banking Outlook. December 2016

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Trends and developments in the Spanish banking sector. Variation in the net financial burden from 2008 to 2016. The Portuguese banking system: relief at the DBRS rating. Banking union: necessary, positive and offering great potential. New package of banking reforms.

Geographies:Spain Europe Portugal
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Portugal: surprise increase in 3Q GDP growth to 0.8% QoQ

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The Portuguese economy grew by 0.8% QoQ in 3Q16, considerably more than expected (0.3% QoQ). In contrast with previous quarters, domestic demand contributed negatively to growth (-0.4 pp), while the external sector did so positively, by 1.3 pp, due to the strong increase in exports and an unexpected fall in imports.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth stagnates at 0.3% QoQ

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The Portuguese economy grew by 0.3% QoQ in 2Q16, broadly in line with projections and fulfilling expectations of a slowdown in private consumption and a boost to exports.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: weak growth during 2Q16 and forecasts revised downwards

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The Portuguese economy grew by 0.3% QoQ in 2Q16, broadly in line with projections and fulfilling expectations of a slowdown in private consumption and a boost to exports. Available data allow us to envisage growth in 3T16 holding at around 0.3%.

Units:
Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: reduced activity and uncertainty in 1S16 bias 2016/17 growth forecasts downwards

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The Portuguese economy grew by 0.2% QoQ in 1Q16 (BBVA Research: 0.3%) supported by the strong increase in consumer consumption, while investment and net external demand reduced the activity’s dynamism. Data for the second quarter suggest that growth should have stabilized at around 0.2% QoQ, although composed differently from 1Q16.

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal | The forecast of a moderate recovery remains

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The weakness of the recovery has extended to the beginning of the year because of the deterioration in some external factors. Despite the economy performing slightly worse than expected, the growth forecast for 2016-17, of 1.4% and 1.6% respectively, remains unchanged, thanks to a gradual improvement in external demand, to less internal uncertainty and to new ECB measures.

Units:
Geographies:Europe Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal | Weak growth and forecasts without changes for 2016

By , ,

National accounts have again provided a weak growth figure in the fourth quarter of 2015 (0.2% QoQ) and the latest activity data have not been positive. For 2016, we are not changing our growth forecast of 1.3% while we see high risks of non-compliance with the deficit target.

Units:
Geographies:Europe Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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