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Portugal | The slowdown in GDP growth continued in 2Q18

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Portugal’s GDP grew by 0.4% QoQ in 1Q18, 0.3 pp less than the growth seen in the previous quarter and that forecast by BBVA Research. Domestic demand continues to grow strongly, in contrast with the recent weakness seen in exports, which have been affected by the reduced thrust of the euro zone economy. BBVA Research estimates that growth in 2Q18 will be around 0.3% QoQ.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal | GDP growth will continue to remain sound in 1Q18

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Portugal saw out 2017 with the highest growth in GDP recorded since 2001, 2.7% YoY. The most recent monthly indicators confirm the trends in consumption and investment, signalling that the Portuguese economy will grow by around 0.7% QoQ in 1Q18, making it possible to maintain GDP growth forecasts for the whole of 2018 and 2019 at 2.3% and 1.8% respectively.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal consolidates its economic recovery

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According to the information available, 4Q17 Portuguese GDP grew at 0.4% QoQ, SWDA, a similar rate to that seen in 3Q17. This would be consistent with the latest BBVA Research scenario for Portugal (+2.6% in 2017 and +2.3% in 2018).

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal | In 4Q, growth would stabilise at around at 0.4% QoQ

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 3Q17 accelerated slightly to reach 0.5% QoQ1, in line with the BBVA Research estimate (0.5% QoQ) and above the one seen in 2Q17 (0.3% QoQ).

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth picked up in 3Q17

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The available data points to a slight pick-up in GDP growth in 3Q17 of around 0.5% QoQ, SWDA. This estimate is likely to result from new momentum in investment and the lively levels of both exports and tourism. However, these may be counteracted by a less bullish performance of private consumption and an uptick in imports.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth slows in 2Q17

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 2Q17 decelerated to reach 0.3% QoQ, in line with the BBVA Research estimate (0.4% QoQ) and below that seen in 1Q17 (1.0% QoQ). Based on data so far available, BBVA Research estimates that growth in 3Q17 will be around 0.5% QoQ.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth forecast for 2017 and 2018 raised

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Available data point to a stabilisation of GDP growth during 2Q17 at around 0.5% QoQ, SWDA1. This estimate is likely to be the result of the continued growth of private consumption and the positive contribution of both the construction sector and tourism.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

By , , , , , , , , , , ,

The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth once again surprise positively in 1Q17

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 1Q17 accelerated to 1.0% QoQ, surpassing the BBVA Research estimate (0.2% QoQ). The quarterly growth was due to the positive contribution of external demand (0.8pp), given the strength exports have once again shown in a context of import slowdown.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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The internationalisation and digitalisation of the portuguese economy

By , , , , ,

Dual economy in which many firms do not promote the accumulation of human capital,innovation and trade in international markets. The size of firms and its determinants, product market regulations and the environment for doing business are of paramount importance. All this in a more globalised world economy undergoing an unprecedented and disruptive technological revolution

Geographies:Portugal

Available in English

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Portugal: growth could return to around 0.2% QoQ in 1Q17

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Available data points to a slowdown in GDP growth in 1Q17 to 0.2% QoQ, SWDA, similar to the levels seen in the first half of 2016. During the coming quarters GDP growth could settle at between 0.3% and 0.4% in line with growth of 1.7% on average in 2017, above the 1.4% seen in 2016.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: GDP growth forecasts for 2018 reviewed upwards to 1.7%

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Growth of the Portuguese economy in 4Q16 reached 0.6% QoQ1, once again causing positive surprise (BBVA Research forecast 0.3% QoQ), albeit lower than that seen in the previous quarter (0.9% QoQ). As a result Portugal ended 2016 with GDP growth of 1.4% YoY, less than the 1.6% YoY posted in 2015, but slightly more than the BBVA Research forecast of mid-2016 (1.2%).

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Portugal: growth could return to around 0.3% QoQ in 4Q16

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The growth of the Portuguese economy during 3Q16 reached 0.8% QoQ1, with a surprise acceleration in the growth levels from the levels around 0.3% QoQ seen in the first half of the year. The foreign sector was the main cause of this growth, with a strong increase in exports and an unexpected decline in imports.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Banking Outlook. December 2016

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Trends and developments in the Spanish banking sector. Variation in the net financial burden from 2008 to 2016. The Portuguese banking system: relief at the DBRS rating. Banking union: necessary, positive and offering great potential. New package of banking reforms.

Geographies:Spain Europe Portugal
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Portugal: surprise increase in 3Q GDP growth to 0.8% QoQ

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The Portuguese economy grew by 0.8% QoQ in 3Q16, considerably more than expected (0.3% QoQ). In contrast with previous quarters, domestic demand contributed negatively to growth (-0.4 pp), while the external sector did so positively, by 1.3 pp, due to the strong increase in exports and an unexpected fall in imports.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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