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Infographic Peru Promoting financial development in the context of Middle-Income Trap

By , , , ,

Between 2011 and 2017, the economy has grown on average 4.8% annually, while the LAC average is 1.7%

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Infographic Mexico Promoting financial development in the context of Middle-Income Trap

By , , , ,

Between 2011 and 2017, the economy has grown on average 2.6% annually, while the LAC average is 1.7%

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2018

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The Colombian economy has remained robust amid turmoil in markets. As a result, some assets, such as sovereign debt and risk premiums, have not been impacted by these fluctuations, and only the exchange rate registered a slight depreciation. High oil prices and the reduction of external imbalances in recent years helped the economy to be more resilient.

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The Tourism Sector in Colombia

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This observatory is examining the recent evolution of tourism, showing the sector’s importance for the economy and the variables explaining its recent boom. BBVA Research expects that the number of foreign tourists will double in the short term and that the tourism industry will replace coal as the second most important export.

Geographies:Colombia

Available in Spanish

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Policy priorities to promote financial development in the context of Middle Income Trap

By , , , ,

This paper analyses the development of financial markets in Argentina, Colombia, Mexico and Peru in the context of the middle-income trap. This is particularly relevant for these economies, since well-developed and properly-functioning financial markets are fundamental to achieve high income status on a sustainable basis.

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Colombia | GDP growth second quarter 2018

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In the second quarter the economy grew by 2.5% (adjusted for seasonality and business days), close to the 2.6% posted for the first quarter. Activity was stimulated by the hiring of professional and scientific services (7.6% annually), the public sector (4.8%) and agro (4.7%). Industry figures foreshadow stronger private consumption.

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018

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We expect and acceleration of GDP growth from 1.8% in 2017 to 2.6% in 2018 and 3.3% in 2019, driven mainly by private consumption. Low expected inflation, the adjustment in external accounts made by Colombia and the stability in the exchange rate will allow the Central Bank to maintain its reference rate in an accommodative stance for a prolonged time.

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

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GDP growth will accelerate, reaching a rate of 2.0% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019, driven by private spending. Inflation will converge to the 3.0% target and will allow the Central Bank to reduce its rate to 4.0% in the second quarter of this year. The exchange rate will depreciate in the second half of 2018.

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Colombia | Building the recovery

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The housing sector has been one of the main drivers of economic activity. It will continue to be very important in the future. There is still ample margin for growth due to a housing deficit in the country, rising household incomes, and a recent improvement in financing conditions.

Geographies:Colombia

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Colombia Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

By , , , ,

Higher oil prices and a more robust world growth contribute to the recovery cycle of the Colombian economy in 2018 and 2019. Inflation will continue decelerating, allowing the Central Bank to reduce their policy rate in 2018. Structural imbalances continue to adjust, even though the fiscal balance will face some challenges in 2019.

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Colombia | Financing housing: challenges in formalisation and banking

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The construction sector will be decisive in the new growth recovery cycle. The housing deficit, low rates of home ownership, the rise of the middle class and demographic conditions will help consolidate the housing sector.

Geographies:Colombia

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , ,

The Colombian economy shows a better behavior from the third quarter leaving the deceleration cycle behind. For 2018 most sectors will contribute to the acceleration of the economy thanks to a stronger internal demand and a recovery in external demand.

Available in Spanish, English

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