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Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018

By , , , ,

The economy is starting to settle into improved performance, with positive surprises. Political tension has reduced, business confidence has improved and private expenditure shows a good performance. As a result, we expect output to grow by 3.6% this year and 3.9% next, more than we forecast in our last report.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | The BCRP and the economic cycle- the end of monetary policy rate reductions?

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Between May 2017 and March 2018, the Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) cut the benchmark rate by 1.5% (from 4.25% to 2.75%), highlighting the expansive nature of the country's monetary policy. Nevertheless, we expect this rate reduction process to have concluded and that from the second half of 2019, the BCRP will begin to increase rates toward a more neutral level.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

We forsee growth of 3.2% in 2018 and 3.5% for next year. The forecasts take into account a favourable international environment for Peru. On the domestic front we are assuming a calmer political scenario, a fiscal stimulus in 2018 and a commencement of the deficit reduction by the government next year.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Real Estate Outlook 2017

By , ,

Apartments sales in Lima was reactivated in 2017 after a period of uncertainty related to the general elections, especially since the third quarter, when the economy began to show some signs of recovery. However, according to the number of purchase searches carried out on the internet, sales would moderate in 2018.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Advances in digitalisation

By , ,

Peru is still lagging behind the region in the process of digitalisation. However, there have been advances such as the increased use of the internet by families, a reduction in the concentration of companies offering internet services and improvements in infrastructure. Going forward, it is anticipated that these favourable trends will continue.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

The economic outlook is improving in the second half of the year. The Peruvian economy will grow at around 2.5% yoy in the second half of the year (and at around the same rate for 2017 as a whole), with increased support from domestic demand. For next year, GDP will grow at close to 4% yoy. This forecast is subject to the fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

The economic outlook is improving in the second half of the year. The Peruvian economy will grow at around 2.5% yoy in the second half of the year (and at around the same rate for 2017 as a whole), with increased support from domestic demand. For next year, GDP will grow at close to 4% yoy. This forecast is subject to the fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Exposure of international banks to Latin America

By ,

In the context of a reduction in global cross-border funds, this report explores the recent evolution of international banks’ exposures to Latin America using BIS statistics. Latin America is one of the few regions in the world where the exposure of international banks continued to increase as result of the strong presence of international banks with local operations.

Available in Spanish

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

By , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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An Index of Regulatory Practices for Financial Inclusion in Latin America

Document Number 17/15

By ,

The index assesses and compares the quality of regulations that influence financial inclusion in 8 Latin American countries. It defines three categories of regulatory practices: the enablers, which determine the overall quality of the financial environment; the promoters, which deal with specific market frictions; and the preventers which create distortions and barriers.

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection downwards, from 4.1% to 3.5%. The delay in infrastructure construction, one of the main risk factors considered in the report that we published last quarter, materialised in early 2017.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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