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Uruguay Economic Outlook. First half 2018

By , , , , ,

Uruguay: growth slows, but investment expected to pick up. Downward revision of growth in Uruguay due to the effect of the drought on the agricultural and livestock sector and hydroelectric generation. Private consumption slows due to slacker pace of increase in real wages.

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Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay Economic Outlook. Second half 2017

By , ,

Uruguay will growth 3.2% this year. There will be the second fastest growing country in the region. We project a current account result of just 0.3% of GDP for 2018. We estimate that the dollar will end this year at $ 29.5 and $ 31.4 at the end of 2018. We have adjusted our estimate of inflation to 6.3% yoy and 7.0% yoy for 2017 and 2018 respectively

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Available in Spanish, English

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

By , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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An Index of Regulatory Practices for Financial Inclusion in Latin America

Document Number 17/15

By ,

The index assesses and compares the quality of regulations that influence financial inclusion in 8 Latin American countries. It defines three categories of regulatory practices: the enablers, which determine the overall quality of the financial environment; the promoters, which deal with specific market frictions; and the preventers which create distortions and barriers.

Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay Economic Outlook. First Half 2017

By , ,

Uruguay returns to growth, 1.9% in 2017 and 3% in 2018, with a strong impulse from investment. The fiscal balance is improving, although at a slower rate than expected. Inflation will remain outside the target range, reaching 8% in 2017 and 7.9% in 2018. The Fx rate will end 2017 at $31.1, avoiding a deterioration in competitiveness vis a vis its main regional partners

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Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay Economic Outlook. Second Half 2016

By , ,

Uruguay will grow by just 0.5% in 2016, but expectations for 2017 are improving thanks to a positive contribution from external demand. Inflation is starting to ease thanks to reduced pressures from the exchange rate and from demand, but will once again exceed the target range.

Units:
Geographies:Uruguay

Available in Spanish, English

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Financial Inclusion in Uruguay

By ,

An overall view. Uruguay step by step. Regulation for financial inclusion.

Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay: Digital Context

By ,

Uruguay is in a leading position in terms of digital content compared to other countries in the region, as shown in the 2015 Structural Digitization Index developed by BBVA Research. In this regard, Uruguay’s digital scenario is close to that of developed countries like Luxembourg, Ireland and Belgium, among others.

Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay Economic Outlook First Half 2016

By , ,

Growth in GDP will be sluggish in 2016 (0.7%), marked by the stagnation in private consumption. GDP will increase 1.5% in 2017. The dollar will see out the year at $ 35.2 per unit, and will reach $37.1 at the end of the next year. Inflation: 9.2% in 2016 and 8.7% in 2017: inflation inertia will be constrained by real wages

Geographies:Uruguay

Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay Economic Outlook Second Half 2015

By , ,

Internal demand is contracting more rapidly than expected, driven by declining confidence indicators and a weaker labour market. A five-year budget with a fiscal adjustment which looks unambitious in the context of an optimistic macro scenario. Inflation will reach 9.2% in 2015 and 8.5% in 2016. The government is changing its strategy to undo wage indexation

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Geographies:Uruguay

Available in Spanish, English

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LatAm | Has exchange rate pass-through to prices increased in Latin America?

By , , , , , ,

After the later inflation surprise to the upside in South America, we estimate the degree of pass-through of the exchange rate to prices for each country of the region. In general, there is no strong evidence that it has increased significantly over the past year, but that it has been the sheer scale of depreciation which has driven inflation in Latin America.

Available in Spanish

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Latin America Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2015

By , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

LatAm growth will remain low in 2015 and will slowly pick up in 2016, though still below the region’s potential level. Unevenness will continue in the region, with Brazil in recession and the Pacific Alliance growing at around 3%.

Available in Spanish, English

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Uruguay Economic Outlook First half 2015

By , ,

Uruguay has uncoupled from Mercosur and will grow at 2.6% in 2015 and 3.0% in 2016, in spite of the weaker stimulus from domestic demand

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Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation "Latin America Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2015″

By

We are revising LatAm growth downwards to 0.6% in 2015 and 2.1% in 2016. The weakness of confidence is hampering domestic demand, but regional growth will rise in 2016, spurred by a concerted public investment effort in the Andean countries and greater world growth. The Pacific Alliance will continue to grow at above the regional average.

Available in Spanish, English

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Extending access to the formal financial system: the banking correspondent business model

By , ,

New ways of understanding banking, technological improvements, and regulation yield new means of interaction between customers and banks through outsourcing agreements. This paper provides the first harmonised database with information on the number of banking correspondents by country, which helps in measuring access to the formal financial system.

Available in Spanish, English

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