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The Fed will likely convey that it continues to look for “more good data” before feeling enough confidence to begin cutting rates as the strength of economic activity has extended and shelter inflation has surprised to the upside.

While the labor market is still on track to a better supply-demand balance and wage costs cool down, two consecutive 0.4% MoM core inflation readings will likely continue to push the Fed to convey it needs “more good data” to gain greater confidence on the disinflationary process.

We present a summary and analysis of the most relevant developments and publications in Mexico's financial regulatory landscape.

Javier Milei's government took office aiming to have a less regulated and more market friendly economy with the private sector as the main driver of economic growth. The core of his macroeconomic policy is to achieve fiscal equilibrium and elim…

This year will go from less to more, but it could trend even more positively if investment gains momentum. This hinges on broader factors like the country's medium-term outlook concerning growth, fiscal matters, regulations, and inflation, amon…

In its March decision, the Board of the Central Bank decided to maintain the reference rate at 6.25% but reduced reserve requirements in domestic currency from 6.0% to 5.5%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains in restrictive territory.

This meeting further supports the expectation of an initial rate cut in June in line with our forecasts. The updated projections match our own. Nevertheless, the ECB needs to verify that core inflation, particularly from services and consequently wages, moderates as expected.

Improved financial conditions for households and businesses, facilitated by anticipated lower interest rates and inflation, will pave the way for a gradual economic recovery in Colombia throughout 2024, solidifying by 2025. We project a 1.5% GD…

The consumer price index increased 0.56% MoM in February. The result for the month is mainly explained by the increase in the prices of some foods, particularly poultry, affected by high temperatures in February, and the readjustment in some ad…

This Agenda presents the 2024 dissemination schedule for economic indicators and relevant monetary policy events in Mexico and the US; dates of important events such as the meetings of various relevant international entities such as: World Econ…

The PBoC unexpectedly cut the 5-year loan prime rate by the largest amount today while maintaining the one-year loan prime rate which is deemed to be the policy rate unchanged.

Doors seem to have closed to the possibility of a rate cut in March. Fed’s need for “more good data” to achieve “greater confidence” of the ongoing disinflation process has been recently supported by recent strong job creation data and signals of sticky core CPI services inflation.