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Digital Economy Outlook. September 2017

By , , , ,

In this issue we will focus on: Banks and new digital players: is there a level playing field?; The paradox of the digital consumer: more demanding but less aware of his rights; PSD2 implementation: transposition deadline draws closer; Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC): challenging the financial system as we know it and; Financial innovation policies across the EU

Available in Spanish, English

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Turkey | Further Rise in Inflation as Expected

By , , ,

Consumer prices rose by 1.3% in line with the market consensus, but lower than our expectations (1.6%) in April. Thus, annual inflation rose further to 11.9% from 11.3%. The reason behind this month’s increase was almost entirely due to the surge in food prices. We estimate that inflation will fall into single digits in the last two months and end the year at 9%.

Available in English

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Peru | Using Big Data to analyse economic variables

By ,

In line with the new information technology tools afforded to us by Big Data, BBVA Research Peru’s work is being presented alongside some applications developed by BBVA.

Available in Spanish

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U.S. | The Growing Appetite for Sustainable Foods

By ,

Sustainable food: key to ending world hunger and coping with environmental challenges. Consumer preferences, technology and policies must align with long-term objectives. Banks can play a crucial role while enhancing relationships with conscious consumers.

Geographies:USA Global

Available in Spanish, English

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Digital Economy Outlook. May 2016

By , , , ,

In this issue we focus on: European General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR); Tax challenges for the digital economy; The European Network and Information Security Directive (part 2 of 2); e-commerce in Spain: generational approach; Marketing in the digital era: adapting to the new consumer.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Small Business Optimism Decreases in February

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Small business optimism fell to a 26-month low as consumer confidence also dropped. Reported declines in small business employment contradict the month’s strong payrolls. Concerns about sales and costs increased, reflecting a difficult operating environment

Geographies:USA

Available in English

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Consumption Outlook. Second half 2015

By

Private consumption is spearheading the recovery of Spain’s economy. Prospects are encouraging: household spending will grow at around a cumulative 6%. Better borrowing conditions are underpinning increased demand for durable goods. Dwindling financial fragmentation and a falling NPL ratio should help bring down interest rates on consumer credit.

Available in Spanish

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Spain Consumption Outlook. First half 2015

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Better fundamentals are underpinning more lively private consumption. The increase in new lending business is facilitating vigorous growth in spending on consumer durables. Inequality in the distribution of consumption diminished during the crisis, in contrast to the increase in income inequality. The drivers of online shopping differ among products

Available in Spanish

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Colombia | Automotive Outlook 2015.

By , , , , , ,

Car sales are expected to slow down to 290,000 and 305,000 units in 2015 and 2016, respectively, with a greater share of local assembled vehicles of total sales. The potential for growth in the sector in the medium term remains unchanged. We forecast an increase in the price of vehicles because of the exchange rate depreciation.

Available in Spanish, English

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Spain | Retail sales fell again in February

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Seasonally adjusted real retail sales fell by 0.7pp, more than expected. The increased consumption of fuels and other products was insufficient to offset the decline of durable goods and food.

Available in Spanish

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Growth in 2014 was good, but what matters now is 2015

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Economic growth in the fourth quarter stood at 3.5%, lower than expected by BBVA (4.5%) and the market (3.9%), largely by the impact of the low growth of civil works.

Available in Spanish

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Spain | Retail sales slightly decreased at the start of 2015

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Seasonally adjusted retail sales fell by four tenths in January. Rising food and fuel consumption was insufficient to offset the decline in durables.

Available in Spanish

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Spain Consumption Outlook. Second half 2014

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Private consumption growth continues to grow. The improvement in disposable income, in financial wealth and in financing will support increased household expenditure. The recent momentum in the demand for durable goods relies on their sensitivity to changes in income and on the fact that the majority of them are complementary goods. E-commerce in Spain is still limited. Training, income levels, internet banking and in-company digitalisation are key.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation "Spain Consumption Outlook. Second half 2014"

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The global economy is growing, but more slowly than anticipated. Europe faces major challenges. The recovery in Spain continues at the pace expected, despite the stagnation in Europe. Reforms are still needed. Private consumption retains its momentum thanks to better fundamentals, more lending, less uncertainty and the prolongation of the PIVE programme but the margin for improvement is running out: households are still leveraged, the savings rate is at rock bottom and the stimuli are transitory. The momentum of spending on durables relies on their greater income elasticity and on the fact that most consumer items are complementary goods. E-commerce is still used relatively little in Spain. IT literacy, income level, internet banking use and corporate digitalisation are all key.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Spain: slight decrease in new car registrations during August, as forecast.

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Once seasonal effects are controlled for, BBVA Research´s estimates suggest that new car registrations fell slightly during August. All in all, around 280,000 cars are forecast to be registered between September and December, bringing the annual figure for 2014 to around 850,000 registrations.

Available in Spanish

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