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IIF Panel "New Methods for Old Questions". Big Data at BBVA Research

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Big Data allows us to use massive new flows of data (numbers, text & images…) on real time​ and new scope​ to ​complement with new methods the answer to old questions. The new technologies allow us to ​gauge not only structural issues ​ ​as Geopolitics, Trade, Globalization... ​but also the analysis of Business Cycle, narratives, sentiments.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - September 2017 Update

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European political arena focused the world attention in September given the German elections and the Catalonian political uncertainty after the referendum vote. North Korea crisis remained as one of the main world threats, as well as the regional instability in Middle East, which increased uncertainties after the Kurdish independency referendum results.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - August 2017 Update

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North Korean crisis is still escalating, especially after its last nuclear test with a hydrogen bomb. Operations against ISIS in Syria and Iraq continue in a positive path. The Kurdish referendum it´s seen as one of the main concerns for the next months.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - July 2017 Update

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North Korea increased security threats after its two long-range missile tests this month, increasing tensions with US. US approved new sanctions against Russia. As a response, Russia ordered to cut 755 US diplomatic staff and it plans to seize two US diplomatic properties. The Qatar diplomatic rift has been eased off.

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Fintech in Emerging ASEAN: Trends and Prospects

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Growth of emerging ASEAN, chiefly Indonesia & Philippines, is underpinned by improving demographic dividend and rapid urbanization. ASEAN banks benefit from adequate capital buffers and manageable asset quality concerns. ASEAN banks profitability trends are stabilizing post contraction over the past three years.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - June 2017 Update

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North Korean crisis heated up as a US student has passed away after the end of its captivity and Pyongyang regime continues with the missile tests. The Trump administration is considering further pressure on Chinese efforts to contain the crisis. The fights in Raqqa and Mosul accelerate, but some uncertainties will remain in the Post-War period.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - May 2017 Update

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Tensions surrounding the North Korean nuclear test program remained in the spotlight becoming one of the main US foreign policy concerns. The US announced its support for the Syrian Kurdish in the fight against ISIS. The campaign to seize Raqqa is accelerating. Recent peace talks in Syria as well as the “de-escalation zone” agreement reduced conflict intensity in May.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - April 2017 Update

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Tensions continued between North Korea and US over the nuclear test programme and the US increased its missile defence system in the area. China will continue to maintain the statuo quo while the tone of the US escalated but softened thereafter. In the Middle East, the advances of the coalition forces continue against ISIS. The US supported the YPG's advance in Raqqa.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - March 2017 Update

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After the chemical weapons attack on Syrian civilian population, the US launched its first military strike against the Assad regime sending a clearer message to Syria and North Korea. However, it is still early to know whether this is a tactical message or part of a broader strategy. Europe and Asia kept with low conflict levels, while in North Africa, instability rose.

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Big Data at BBVA Research

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Big Data analysis at BBVA Research. Digital revolution and the new business environment. Big data and education: challenges and opportunities

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - February 2017 Update

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While ISIS lost ground in Syria and Iraq, Al-Qaeda resumed its offensive operations. Meanwhile, tensions between Russia and Ukraine stabilized after last month’s sharp conflict escalation. Geopolitical tensions in China could intensify as uncertainties regarding the US policy stance in the region remained and North Korea remains testing.

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White Paper on the future of Europe

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The European Commission presented its White Paper on the future of Europe. It draws five different scenarios: business as usual, retreat to a pure single market, a variable geometry union, a more efficient union, and a deeper union. The paper clarifies the debate, draws clear pathways to choose, and introduces the debate on what exactly the EU27 should or should not do.

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A long term global view with a focus on MENA

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A long term global view with a focus on MENA. The mediterranean Economies in a changing world. The world is changing its economic center of gravity from the Atlantic to the Pacific. Growth will be concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region, (80% in the next ten years)

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Ukraine: violence intensified once again in 2017

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Fighting in Eastern Ukraine erupted again, just a day after that the first phone call between Trump and Putin since the US president's inauguration. It was the worst escalation since early 2015. The new US administration's policy stance towards the conflict is still undefined and increases concerns and uncertainties about the conflict evolution and the Russian role on it.

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