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Fintech in Emerging ASEAN: Trends and Prospects

By , , , ,

Growth of emerging ASEAN, chiefly Indonesia & Philippines, is underpinned by improving demographic dividend and rapid urbanization. ASEAN banks benefit from adequate capital buffers and manageable asset quality concerns. ASEAN banks profitability trends are stabilizing post contraction over the past three years.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - June 2017 Update

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North Korean crisis heated up as a US student has passed away after the end of its captivity and Pyongyang regime continues with the missile tests. The Trump administration is considering further pressure on Chinese efforts to contain the crisis. The fights in Raqqa and Mosul accelerate, but some uncertainties will remain in the Post-War period.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - May 2017 Update

By , , ,

Tensions surrounding the North Korean nuclear test program remained in the spotlight becoming one of the main US foreign policy concerns. The US announced its support for the Syrian Kurdish in the fight against ISIS. The campaign to seize Raqqa is accelerating. Recent peace talks in Syria as well as the “de-escalation zone” agreement reduced conflict intensity in May.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - April 2017 Update

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Tensions continued between North Korea and US over the nuclear test programme and the US increased its missile defence system in the area. China will continue to maintain the statuo quo while the tone of the US escalated but softened thereafter. In the Middle East, the advances of the coalition forces continue against ISIS. The US supported the YPG's advance in Raqqa.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - March 2017 Update

By , ,

After the chemical weapons attack on Syrian civilian population, the US launched its first military strike against the Assad regime sending a clearer message to Syria and North Korea. However, it is still early to know whether this is a tactical message or part of a broader strategy. Europe and Asia kept with low conflict levels, while in North Africa, instability rose.

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Big Data at BBVA Research

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Big Data analysis at BBVA Research. Digital revolution and the new business environment. Big data and education: challenges and opportunities

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - February 2017 Update

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While ISIS lost ground in Syria and Iraq, Al-Qaeda resumed its offensive operations. Meanwhile, tensions between Russia and Ukraine stabilized after last month’s sharp conflict escalation. Geopolitical tensions in China could intensify as uncertainties regarding the US policy stance in the region remained and North Korea remains testing.

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White Paper on the future of Europe

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The European Commission presented its White Paper on the future of Europe. It draws five different scenarios: business as usual, retreat to a pure single market, a variable geometry union, a more efficient union, and a deeper union. The paper clarifies the debate, draws clear pathways to choose, and introduces the debate on what exactly the EU27 should or should not do.

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A long term global view with a focus on MENA

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A long term global view with a focus on MENA. The mediterranean Economies in a changing world. The world is changing its economic center of gravity from the Atlantic to the Pacific. Growth will be concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region, (80% in the next ten years)

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Ukraine: violence intensified once again in 2017

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Fighting in Eastern Ukraine erupted again, just a day after that the first phone call between Trump and Putin since the US president's inauguration. It was the worst escalation since early 2015. The new US administration's policy stance towards the conflict is still undefined and increases concerns and uncertainties about the conflict evolution and the Russian role on it.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - January 2017 Update

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Pro-regime forces took full control of Aleppo, while ISIS retook Palmyra. Russian military operations intensified during the month. Escalation between Russia and Ukraine. Iraqi security forces recaptured eastern Mosul. Escalation between Russia and Ukraine

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China | Trump, tariffs and tensions

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Donald Trump will be inaugurated as 45th President of the United States today. During his campaign, he pledged to label China a “currency manipulator” and impose a 45% tariff on Chinese imports during his first day in office. While the likelihood of this scenario remains low, a number of factors point towards a more protectionist agenda under Trump.

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Syria: The war will continue

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Aleppo has been seized almost entirely by pro-regime forces while Turkey moves deeper into northern Syria to seize ISIS-held al-Bab. The war against rebel forces will move to Idlib province west of Aleppo (rebel held green area in the map and southern parts of it). The new phase in the war would also a test of the allaince between Moscow and Tehran.

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - Nov Update

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Russia intensified its campaign in Syria, with heavy airstrikes taking place throughout the month. Iraqi security forces continued their operations in Mosul, making some gains in the eastern area. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine sharply escalated due to Ukrainian missile testing.

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