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U.S. | Auto Industry Chartbook. August 2017

By , ,

Despite supportive economic fundamentals and generous incentives, demand for new vehicles continues to slow down. Consumers continue to show a strong bias towards light-trucks, which reached 63% of total sales in July. The alternative fuel segment continues to expand, a substitution effect is taking place between hybrid-gasoline and increasingly reliable PHEV and BEV.

Available in English

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The Colombian road infrastructure: Where are we and where are we going in 4G?

By , , , ,

4G projects have demanded an overall significant effort. At the moment, 23 of the 32 4G projects have an ANI’s contractual financial closure and only 8 of them have a definitive one. Our scenario includes an execution which is slower than what the Government expects but that is still supporting GDP growth, especially in 2019. Challenges remain to be overcome.

Available in Spanish

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U.S. | The Permian basin and the rebound in U.S. crude oil production

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U.S. crude oil production continues to increase, complicating efforts made by OPEC and its partners to stabilize the market through output cuts. After reaching a bottom in July 2016, U.S. production has surged by 969,000 b/d to 9.4 million b/d as of July 7 2017. At this pace, production could surpass its previous peak of 9.6 million b/d sometime in what remains of 2017.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: renewables, the answer is blowin’ in the wind

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The outlook for global wind energy is positive. Although government support will continue to play an important role in the development of the wind energy projects, ongoing productivity gains are expected to make subsidies and tax breaks less relevant over time.

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

By , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Auto sales: a look under the hood

By ,

Both secular and cyclical factors are behind the current slowdown in auto sales. We expect auto sales to fall below 17 million units in 2017. The decline in demand could prompt a significant adjustment in the auto industry

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: risks and opportunities in climate change

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Discussion on the role of the banking industry in the fight against climate change

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U.S. | Risks and Opportunities in Climate Change

By ,

The world economy is transitioning to a carbon-free paradigm triggered by the potentially disastrous effects of climate change. In the following years, vast amounts of capital will be allocated to mitigation and adaptation projects. With the right strategy, the opportunities for the banking industry could outweigh the risks

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: auto and housing industries

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of March 20, 2017. Special topic: the U.S. auto industry

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U.S. | Auto industry chartbook (March 2017)

By , ,

Solid employment growth, stable gasoline prices and low interest rates contributed to robust vehicle sales through the end of 2016. Demand continues to be biased towards light-trucks and away from cars. Auto lending remains healthy, but this could be impacted by future interest rate hikes.

Available in English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: oil price outlook and home sales

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of February 20, 2017. Special topic: oil price outlook

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The Network View: applications to international trade and bank exposures

Document Number 17/02

By ,

Systems of interconnected elements are increasingly important in economic applications. This paper elaborates on some ideas of network analysis and its application to the study of systems of economic interest. It focuses on the Identification of influential and vulnerable elements, from both a global and a local perspective.

Available in English

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U.S. | The road ahead for electric vehicles

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Electric vehicles have become more reliable and attractive due to technological progress and government support. However, prospects for mass adoption are still constrained by technological limitations, charging infrastructure, policy uncertainty and oil prices

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Oil Price Outlook (February 2017)

By , ,

OPEC output deal may have a limited impact on prices. Going forward, inventory correction and the lagged effect of CAPEX cuts should lead to higher prices. The recovery of U.S. shale production is expected to prevent a steep upturn in prices. Little to no upside from demand. Slow recovery and convergence to $60/bbl.

Available in English

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Mexico Regional Sectorial Outlook. Second Half 2016

By , , ,

The automotive industry in Mexico: domestic sales at their highest level, exports will depend on the international situation. NAFTA promotes greater trade integration and economic complexity. The telecommunications reform begins to show its positive effects

Available in Spanish, English

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