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Peru | Real Estate Outlook 2017

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Apartments sales in Lima was reactivated in 2017 after a period of uncertainty related to the general elections, especially since the third quarter, when the economy began to show some signs of recovery. However, according to the number of purchase searches carried out on the internet, sales would moderate in 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Advances in digitalisation

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Peru is still lagging behind the region in the process of digitalisation. However, there have been advances such as the increased use of the internet by families, a reduction in the concentration of companies offering internet services and improvements in infrastructure. Going forward, it is anticipated that these favourable trends will continue.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Oil Prices Outlook 2018-2022. December 2017

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Further price increases in the short-run supported by robust demand and inventory correction. Geopolitical factors could lift prices further. In the mid-term, supply is expected to catch up with higher prices, intensifying the fight for market share.

Available in English

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U.S. | Auto Industry Chartbook. Fourth quarter 2017

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The replacement of vehicles damaged or destroyed by recent hurricanes boosted auto sales in September and October. However, after the one-time effect of hurricanes recedes, sales of new vehicles are likely to return to a more modest path due to rising interest rates and lower prices of pre-owned units.

Available in English

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Mexico Regional Sectorial Outlook. Second Half 2017

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We present the performance of the economies at state level, as well as their short-term perspective. The distinction is made between activities in order to understand their performance. Thus it was found that the vast majority of states have tertiary activities as the major source of economic momentum

Available in Spanish, English

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Spain | New revaluation in the real estate sector

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The positive evolution of the real estate market has resulted in a new growth of housing prices in 2Q17. The data for the third quarter show a better performance than in the same period of the previous year: sales and construction activity were supported by the good performance of the economy and the mortgage market.

Available in Spanish

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Spain | The positive trend of real estate consolidated in 1H17

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The performance of real estate in the first half of the year confirms the expectations for 2017. The sale of housing consolidates its growth, 15.5% year-on-year in 1H17, supported by the good economic performance and the low costs of financing. In addition, the non-residential segment rebounded in the first half of the year.

Available in Spanish

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U.S. | Auto Industry Chartbook. August 2017

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Despite supportive economic fundamentals and generous incentives, demand for new vehicles continues to slow down. Consumers continue to show a strong bias towards light-trucks, which reached 63% of total sales in July. The alternative fuel segment continues to expand, a substitution effect is taking place between hybrid-gasoline and increasingly reliable PHEV and BEV.

Available in English

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The Colombian road infrastructure: Where are we and where are we going in 4G?

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4G projects have demanded an overall significant effort. At the moment, 23 of the 32 4G projects have an ANI’s contractual financial closure and only 8 of them have a definitive one. Our scenario includes an execution which is slower than what the Government expects but that is still supporting GDP growth, especially in 2019. Challenges remain to be overcome.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | The Permian basin and the rebound in U.S. crude oil production

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U.S. crude oil production continues to increase, complicating efforts made by OPEC and its partners to stabilize the market through output cuts. After reaching a bottom in July 2016, U.S. production has surged by 969,000 b/d to 9.4 million b/d as of July 7 2017. At this pace, production could surpass its previous peak of 9.6 million b/d sometime in what remains of 2017.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: renewables, the answer is blowin’ in the wind

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The outlook for global wind energy is positive. Although government support will continue to play an important role in the development of the wind energy projects, ongoing productivity gains are expected to make subsidies and tax breaks less relevant over time.

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

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The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Auto sales: a look under the hood

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Both secular and cyclical factors are behind the current slowdown in auto sales. We expect auto sales to fall below 17 million units in 2017. The decline in demand could prompt a significant adjustment in the auto industry

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: risks and opportunities in climate change

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Discussion on the role of the banking industry in the fight against climate change

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U.S. | Risks and Opportunities in Climate Change

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The world economy is transitioning to a carbon-free paradigm triggered by the potentially disastrous effects of climate change. In the following years, vast amounts of capital will be allocated to mitigation and adaptation projects. With the right strategy, the opportunities for the banking industry could outweigh the risks

Available in Spanish, English

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