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Market Comment | Ups and downs in markets with trade and global outlook as key points


Last week’s increase in volatility was overshadowed by the positive tone in financial markets on the back of optimism about global trade ahead of US-China trade talks. Cautious sentiment appeared  amid weak economic data but it was partially offset by today’s announcement of the extension of trade talks and the US Congress’ deal, which will avert another shutdown in the US

Fri, 15 Feb 2019 14:40:03 +0000

Financial Regulation: Weekly Update. 15 February 2019


Highlights: EU ambassadors conclude CRDV negotiation. FSB issues its 2019 work programme. EMMI publishes summary of responses to Euribor consultation. EC issues list of countries with weak AML/CFT. EDPB issues opinion on data transfer. ESRB issues recommendations on reciprocation of large exposure limits. US Treasury issues statement on the US-EU Financial Regulatory Forum

Fri, 15 Feb 2019 12:09:48 +0000

Market Comment | Weak economic data offset optimism on trade talks


The positive tone in markets faded after the release of disappointing economic data, while high-level US-China trade talks started today. The potential extension of the March 1st trade truce deadline continued to weigh on investors’ optimism on the trade relation developments. Meanwhile, today the US Congress will vote on the spending bill that will avoid another shutdown

Thu, 14 Feb 2019 17:20:36 +0000

Turkey | Downside surprise in Industrial Production (IP)

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Industrial Production (IP) surprised on the downside by falling 9.8% yoy in calendar adjusted terms in December (-8.4% BBVA Research vs. -7.5% Consensus). Thus, IP contracted by 7.5% in 4Q18 after its 1.6% growth in 3Q18. We maintain our view that the recovery in economic activity could start as of 2Q19 and bring the whole year GDP growth rate to 1% in 2019.

Thu, 14 Feb 2019 11:39:53 +0000

Market Comment | Markets remained optimistic regarding US-China trade talks


Financial markets continued with a positive sentiment driven mainly by the optimism on the US-China trade relationship and the potential to avert another US government shutdown. Hopes for an ease in trade frictions rose after Trump said that the March 1st deadline to increase tariffs on Chinesse imports could be delayed if progress is made during the upcoming trade talks

Wed, 13 Feb 2019 17:23:34 +0000

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