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Downward revision to our 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth estimate to 2.5% (2.9% previously), with lower dynamism of domestic demand.

Economic activity will rebound this year as the negative shocks that affected it in 2023 revert and the environment for private sector spending improves. Output is expected to grow 2,7%, higher than our three-months-ago forecast (2,0%), as weather anomalies related to the coastal El Niño phenomenon have been less intense.

A comparison of Mexico's GHG emissions with the world is presented, highlighting that the country has increased its emission intensity per unit of GDP since 2019, possibly due to its current energy policy. The influence of the population factor…

Javier Milei's government took office aiming to have a less regulated and more market friendly economy with the private sector as the main driver of economic growth. The core of his macroeconomic policy is to achieve fiscal equilibrium and elim…

Improved financial conditions for households and businesses, facilitated by anticipated lower interest rates and inflation, will pave the way for a gradual economic recovery in Colombia throughout 2024, solidifying by 2025. We project a 1.5% GD…

We summarized the recent Chinese economic development as well as policy outlook in 2024. We also highlight the March 2024 "Two sessions".

The latest gender gap figures for Peru show some deteriorating indicators for women in the country. The greater burden of household chores and the abandonment of the labor market after their first child, condition their situation in the labor market and their use of the financial system.

After increased concerns on inflation outlook and uncertainty ahead of the local election, there has been additional stress on the Turkish financial markets most recently. We expect more restrictive policies going forward, which will keep the c…

GDP growth in Spain for 2024 is revised upwards from 1.5 % to 2.1 %. In 2025, the advance would be reduced by 0.5 pp with respect to the previous scenario, to 2.0 %. The need to initiate the adjustment in public accounts and the greater weaknes…

The Banking System maintains capital and liquidity levels much higher than regulatory minima. The dynamism of bank financing in 2023 was observed in all sectors (public and private), through various instruments (credit and securities) and was a…

The housing sector is in a deceleration phase: low sales, high cancellations, and increased finished inventories. Certainty about VIS subsidies, reduced interest rates, and improved household financial balances will aid recovery, expected to be slow, gradual, and solidified by 2025.

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Our most recent publications

The Fed will likely convey that it continues to look for “more good data” before feeling enough confidence to begin cutting rates as the strength of economic activity has extended and shelter inflation has surprised to the upside.

Adaptation to accelerated climate change is imperative, which can be an opportunity for sustainable financing from the private sector if the conditions are in place. It remains to be seen.

Why was the Depp v. Heard trial held in Virginia? Both Johnny Depp and Amber Heard are not residents of the state of Virginia, they do not have their tax domiciles, companies or homes in the entity and they did not spend part of their marriage …

Care work has a significant impact on women's approach to work. Promoting between family members a balance in the time spent on care and unpaid work would make it possible to increase women's labor participation, their income and their individ…

GDP grew 1.4% y/y in January. He highlighted the growth of sectors that have remained in negative territory for a long time, such as the construction sector and non-primary manufacturing. On the contrary, the agricultural sector continues to be…

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