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img_publication Outlook

Mexico Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2017

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The outlook is more positive, but still with risks. Inflation continues to rise, but it is a transitory phenomenon. The end of the rate hike cycle is closer

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Geographies:Mexico
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1.In summary

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The general improvement in consumer confidence data, the growth in world trade and, above all, the uptick in investment in China thanks to the monetary and fiscal stimulus measures taken there in 2016, are the main factors behind the acceleration in economic activity during the first few months of the year

Units:
Geographies:Mexico


2.Global environment: global growth consolidates but there are still risks

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Gradual acceleration and more restrained extreme scenarios. Moving towards monetary policy normalisation. Slightly upward revision of growth but still with risks of a downturn. United States: growth just above 2% in 2017-2018. China: upward growth revision due to improved recent data, as a result of its economic policy support

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Geographies:Mexico


3.We expect GDP to grow by 1.6% in 2017

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In 2017 the increased dynamism of the export sector could make up for the reduced dynamism of consumption and the somewhat unfavourable prospects for investment. Inflation continues to rise. The monetary tightening cycle continues, given the inflationary risks. The appreciation of the peso stands out favourably in an environment of greater demand for emerging market assets

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Geographies:Mexico



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