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img_publication Outlook

Spain Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

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The Spanish economy continues to show signs of strong recovery, although less intense than in previous years. Weaker tailwinds explain the slowdown: fiscal policy will shift from expansionary to neutral and the inflation increase in the EMU can lead to an inflexion point in monetary policy. The adoption of new reforms is necessary due to the vulnerability of the economy

Geographies:Spain
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1.Editorial

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The Spanish economy continues to show signs of strong recovery, although less intense than in previous years. Weaker tailwinds explain the slowdown: fiscal policy will shift from expansionary to neutral and the inflation increase in the EMU can lead to an inflexion point in monetary policy. The adoption of new reforms is necessary due to the vulnerability of the economy

Geographies:Spain


2.External Outlook

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The growth of the global economy continues to stabilize. The world GDP would have grown 3% in 2016 and aims for a slightly higher increase this year. However, the risks are mostly downwards and are dominated by increased uncertainty, fundamentally linked to the possibility of implementing protectionist measures in the United States.

Geographies:Spain


3.Growth Outlook for the Spanish Economy

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Despite internal and external uncertainty, the Spanish economy closed 2016 with an annual GDP growth of 3.2%. However, the lower momentum of the tailwinds, and the persistence of some headwinds, reaffirms the expectations of a slowdown to 2.7% in 2017 and 2018.

Geographies:Spain



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