Publication date
From
To
x

Your space


Forgot your password?
x

Login to participate



Not registered yet? Register now
x
Make your search by entering the text:
Make your search for other criteria:
img_publication Presentation

Presentation "Latin America Economic Outlook. First quarter 2015"

By

World growth will continue to move upwards, albeit slowly and very unevenly. The fall in oil prices is positive for the world economy, but it has varying effects.Volatility in the region’s financial markets will continue. The Fed rate hikes will have a negative effect on capital flows into the region, which adds to lower commodity export prices.


  • Growth in LatAm should increase gradually, from 0.8% in 2014 to 1.5% in 2015 and 2.4% in 2016, due to the increased global growth and the rise of public investment in the Andean
    countries. The Pacific Alliance should grow by 3.6% and 3.8% in 2015-16.
  • The central banks will continue to show a looser bias, given the cyclical weakness, and could even disengage from the Fed rate hikes, with the exception of Mexico. Interest rate
    cuts are anticipated in Colombia, Peru and Chile.
  • Exchange rates will continue to depreciate in 2015, in a scenario of lower commodity prices, and will disengage from the Fed’s monetary policy.

Send your comment
Send your comment