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Mexico | Fiscal Budget 2018: Responsible and based on realistic assumptions

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On September 8th, the SHCP submitted the fiscal budget for 2018 to Congress. There are three points worth highlighting: i) it is positive that it continues along the path towards fiscal consolidation; (ii) it is designed around realistic economic assumptions; and (iii) if approved, it will mean that debt as a percentage of GDP will continue its downward trajectory in 2018

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. September 2017

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Housing prices rise 6.88% in the second half of 2017. The Bank of Mexico announces a slow-down in the economy’s financing sources and uses. The rate of growth of the personal loan portfolio continues to slow. Credit card financing consolidated its recovery in 2016

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Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | 2018 Fiscal Program: proposal of fiscal consolidation effort of 0.5% of GDP

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The program is based on realistic economic assumptions. The continuation of fiscal consolidation is positive. The budget will mean that debt as a percentage of GDP will continue to decline in 2018

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Is it the end of DACA for 800,000 Dreamers? 630,000 are Mexicans

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The DHS will not be accepting new DACA applications and after 5 October there will be no further renewals. The underway initial and renewal requests will continue to be processed and will not be affected, and the current DACA benefits and work permits will be maintained until their expiration, which could be in up to 24 months

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Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Bank deposits: less dynamism due to lower growth in its term segment

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In June 2017 the nominal annual growth rate of traditional bank deposits (demand + term) was 10.8%, 0.8 percentage points lower than the previous month and 3.6 percentage points lower than the same month of the previous year

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Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Exposure of international banks to Latin America

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In the context of a reduction in global cross-border funds, this report explores the recent evolution of international banks’ exposures to Latin America using BIS statistics. Latin America is one of the few regions in the world where the exposure of international banks continued to increase as result of the strong presence of international banks with local operations.

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Income in Mexico and evolution of poverty: Notes on the new ENIGH 2016

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Appropriate the development of the Statistical Model to ensure historical comparability. The new ENIGH shows a decline in both poverty and extreme poverty compared to the year 2014; however, Mexico still faces important challenges in this area, since 43.6% and 7.6% of the population are in poverty and extreme poverty respectively.

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Remittances increase by 9.4% in July, but decrease in real terms

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We estimate that for the second half of 2017, the receipt of remittances will continue to grow in dollars albeit at a more moderate pace than in the first half-year, but the actual amounts in pesos to reach households in Mexico will be lower in comparison to the previous year due mainly to the appreciation of the peso

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Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico City Urban Development Law: worrying economic policy

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On 1 August last the Mexico City Legislative Assembly approved certain changes to the Urban Development Law, although these have yet to be published in the Mexico City Gazette. This law contains some very worrying features which, if they come into force, will create very significant economic distortions

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Credit to the private sector maintained moderate growth with a rate of 12.7%

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In July 2017, the balance of current credit granted by commercial banks to the private sector grew at a nominal annual rate of 12.7% (5.9% real), 1.1 percentage points lower than the rate observed in the previous month (13.8%) and 4.4 percentage points below that registered in July 2016 (17.1%)

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Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Mexico Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2017

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We consider that the better than expected data for the first half and the momentum of external demand, observed at the time, are sufficient to upwardly revise our growth forecast for this year to 2.2%. By 2018, we anticipate GDP growth of 2%

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English