alert_servicealert_serviceENTER user_add user_add NEW USER

Forgot your password?


Stay logged in to leave
Publication date
From
To
x

Your space


Forgot your password?
x

Login to participate



Not registered yet? Register now
x
Make your search by entering the text:
Make your search for other criteria:
Mexico
Carlos Serrano
Chief Economist
The unit carries out comprehensive monitoring of the country’s economy and in-depth analyses of sectoral and regional aspects, with particular emphasis on the banking, real estate, automotive and infrastructure sectors and analysis of pensions, migration and financial regulation. It also takes care of monitoring, analyses and forecasts of macro aspects, both short-term and structural, of the Mexican economy, activity and demand variables, prices and financial magnitudes such as interest and exchange rates, paying particular attention to public policies and their assessment. It is under the leadership of Carlos Serrano.
Personal Assistant | Ericka Rodríguez

Latest Publications

Catalog Icon

Mexico Regional Sectoral Outlook. First half 2018

By , , ,

The service sector contributed 92.3% to Mexico’s GDP growth. The manufacturing industry regained its dynamism in the second half of 2017 (2H17) and has been a constant subject for debate with the renegotiation of NAFTA.

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018

By , , , ,

In the first half of the year the economy grew by 2.1% relative to the first half of 2017. Inflation: abating in 2018, the spike in June-July will be only temporary. The easing of global trade tensions paves the way for gains for domestic assets given the temporary reduction in idiosyncratic risks.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Presentation Mexico Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018

By , , , ,

The economy grew 2.1% in the first half of the year. Downward bias in our growth forecast for 2018; no change for 2019.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | Remittances increased by 23.1% in June and have reached 3.141 billion dollars

By ,

Tijuana, Guadalajara, Puebla, Morelia, and Culiacán were the municipalities that received the most sizeable remittance totals in the first half of 2018, of which Guadalajara and Morelia were notable for exhibiting YoY growth rates of 22.1% and 25.8% respectively.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | Considerations on AMLO’s four energy proposals

By ,

The next federal administration’s energy policy will be a key factor influencing economic growth, the fiscal balance, investment and the transition to an energy model more geared towards renewables.

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

We expect Banxico to remain on hold

By ,

With no additional deterioration of inflation risks, and the recent appreciation of the MXN, we expect Banxico to hold rates steady.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | NAFTA: uncertainty will continue and so therefore will exchange rate volatility

By

Over the past two years movements in the peso’s rate of exchange against the dollar have tended to follow more than anything the prospects for the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and trade relations between Mexico and the United States in general.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. July 2018

By , , , , , , , , ,

Balance of risks of the Financial System Stability Council (CESF). Value of cars bought on credit shifted towards higher prices. The value of production of construction companies fell by 2.6% in the first four months of 2018. Reduced concerns about global trade tensions give respite to domestic assets in the second half of June.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | 98,470 votes from Mexicans abroad in 2018, 140% more than in 2012

By ,

The preferred candidate of Mexicans abroad was Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who gained 63,863 votes, 64.86% of the total, followed by: Ricardo Anaya Cortes with 26,344 votes (26.75%), José Antonio Meade Kuribreña with 4,613 votes (4.28%) and Jaime Heliodoro Rodríguez Calderón with 1,868 votes (1.90%).

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | The fiscal challenges facing the new administration

By

The next government will be faced with major challenges on the fiscal front. First it has to be said that the fact that the future prime minister and his chosen finance minister made it clear in their first messages that they are going to propose fiscal years resulting in primary fiscal surpluses.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | Monthly remittances exceed US$3 billion for the first time ever

By ,

May saw US$3,097.7 million in remittances, representing a YoY increase of 19.8%, the biggest increase seen in the past 18 months. The Mother’s Day effect, the favourable economic conditions in the US (unemployment at 3.8%) and the appreciation of the dollar against the peso seen in May are the three factors explaining this all-time record figure for remittances.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. June 2018

By , , , , , , , , ,

Domestic sources of financing supported the non-financial private sector. Housing prices rose by 8.7% in the first quarter of 2018. The prospect of a long drawn-out renegotiation of NAFTA leads to negative differentiation of domestic assets. Incorporation of new rating agencies. Banco de México: consultation on subordinated bonds.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

We expect Banxico to hike the policy rate

By ,

A deterioration of inflation risks tips the balance towards a hike.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Mexico | New all-time record for remittances in April: US$2,716.9 million

By ,

Remittances grew by 17.9% YoY, reaching a new all-time high of US$2,716.9 million, the biggest monthly amount ever received in Mexico.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Migration

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Mexico faced with global financial volatility

By

The global economy is going through a spell of rising interest rates in the USA, with the dollar strengthening and international oil prices rising. In the past, this combination of events has led to periods of financial turbulence and capital outflows from emerging markets, which Mexico has not been able to avoid.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English