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United States Economic Outlook Second Quarter 2017

Por

Following the election, survey expectations began to climb at a fast pace while consumption slowed and investment remained flat. This gap widened despite limited progress on tax reform, healthcare, infrastructure, immigration and trade policy

Geografías:EEUU
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1.Editorial

Por

Looking at some soft indicators reveals that consumer expectations stand at their highest level in 17 years while optimism in the small business sector reached its highest level in 12 years

Geografías:EEUU


2.Global growth consolidates but risks remain

Por

On balance, growth forecasts for 2017-18 are largely unchanged. There is a slight positive bias for the Eurozone and especially China, where we expect 6.0%-6.5% GDP growth by year-end. Latin America will emerge from recession this year, but with only moderate growth

Geografías:EEUU


3.U.S. investment doing the heavy lifting

Por

While risks remain balanced, the lack of progress on fiscal reform and the fact that the administration has little to hang their hat on in the first 100 days could test market’s patience, increasing the risk of vulnerability to external imbalances—geopolitical surprises, commodity price shock or emerging market weakness

Geografías:EEUU


4.Infrastructure spending: a need rather than an economic stimulus

Por

Infrastructure projects are unique compared to other types of fiscal stimulus as they have the potential to enhance both short-term and long-term growth prospects

Geografías:EEUU


5.The changing face of U.S. demographics

Por

In the next few decades, the U.S. demographic landscape will change dramatically. The slowdown of population growth and ageing will drive the U.S. economy to an unprecedented territory. In this chapter, we try to summarize demographic trends and the economic and policy implications

Geografías:EEUU


6.Regional Housing Trends

Por

An important element of the recovery at the regional level has been the housing market. As such, the outcome of the housing sector will have implications not only for home prices in 2017 and beyond, but also for overall economic conditions at the state-level

Geografías:EEUU



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