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The indebtedness of the private sector remains below that of peer countries, though signs of deterioration in NPL ratios started to be seen. Banks’ FC liquid assets are solid enough to cover their ST external debt. FC credit evolution and swap policies of the CBRT will be decisive for banks’ FC liquidity.

The indebtedness of different agents remains below that of peers. The composition of external debt has been shifting among the borrowers since 2018. There is the increasing trend led by public, compared to the ongoing decline in the private sector.

Corporate financial distress is a condition experienced by companies under pressure to service their debt due to one or more factors such as overindebtedness, an increase in borrowing costs, challenges rolling over maturing debt due to tighter financial conditions or a decline in revenues.

Nonfinancial corporate debt-to-GDP is high, but debt-to-assets and debt-to-earnings remain moderate. Solid earnings, tax cuts and low real interest rates allow corporations to service their debt without problems. However, tighter financial conditions, a slowdown in profit growth and higher risk aversion will lead to higher debt distress and deterioration in credit quality.