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    U.S. | Cloud banking or banking in the clouds?

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    Cloud computing is used by most banks, but not commonly for core services, mainly due to risk concerns. Moving core services to the cloud could help banks focus on their primary mission and save money, but it comes with significant challenges. Smaller banks will lead the transition of core services to the cloud as they are positioned to make the largest relative gains

    Geographies:USA
    Topics:Banks

    Available in English

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    U.S. | Sure as the wind blows: the potential of wind energy in the U.S.

    By ,

    Efficiency gains and government support behind the expansion of wind energy. Positive outlook due to technology and growing incentives to lower CO2 emissions. Still, uncertainty about Clean Power Plan and storage technologies could hinder the prospects for wind and other renewables

    Available in English

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    FOMC Statement: April 26-27th Meeting

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    Doves Hold off Hawks for Another Meeting, but How Long Can This Last? Fed kept rates unchanged again, despite hawkish undertones. As expected, support for hike is on the rise, with strength in the labor market, fading downward pressures on inflation, and reduced volatility in global financial markets

    Geographies:USA

    Available in Spanish, English

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    ASIA | Equity-for-Debt Swap – A Pareto-Optimal solution to China’s banking sector woes?

    By ,

    With China’s banking sector facing rising asset quality concerns, policymakers recently announced an Equity-for-Debt Swap (EDS) program, aiming to reduce commercial banks' stressed assets. In this watch, we draw upon other countries' experiences to highlight key issues that Chinese policymakers should address for ensuring effective implementation of its new EDS program.

    Units:
    Geographies:Asia China India

    Available in English

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    U.S. | The financial stability mandate strikes back

    By ,

    Financial stability reemerged as a monetary policy objective after the Great Recession. Evidence suggests that the impact of financial variables on the macroeconomy is time-varying. The Federal Reserve has paid equal amount of attention to financial stability under both Yellen and Bernanke’s leadership

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Structural Reforms and the Spanish Recovery

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    After six years of crisis, Spain is finally recovering due to a favourable combination of external and domestic factors. Although it is difficult to estimate their exact contribution, behind the current economic recovery are the effects of structural reforms, in labour and product markets, the financial system or the public sector.

    Available in English

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    ECB keeps stance unchanged

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    Rates were kept unchanged and the tone remained dovish. No hints of any policy change in the near term. The ECB unveiled further details of the CSPP.

    Available in Spanish, English

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    China | The quest for a structured approach to deleveraging and SOE reform

    By , ,

    In this Watch, we look at the magnitude and sustainability of China's mounting corporate debt, and construct a simple index to measure the likelihood of foreclosures taking place at a regional level.

    Units:
    Geographies:Asia China

    Available in English

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    Extremadura Economic Outlook 2016

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    After an increase of 3.0% in 2015, the GDP of Extremadura will grow 2.3 and 2.5% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. The fall in the price of oil, the acceleration of the EMU, and the strength of internal demand shall drive growth. This scenario will enable the creation of 13,000 new jobs during this two-year period.

    Units:
    Geographies:Extremadura Spain

    Available in Spanish

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    The current account balance and the oil price shock

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    The slump in oil and other commodity prices since mid-2014 is having an important impact on the current account balances (CAB) across the World. While the cyclical effects are already affecting the short-term financing needs of oil exporters in particular, the structural or permanent effects of the lower oil prices will affect countries’ structural balances as well.

    Available in English

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    Murcia Economic Outlook 2016

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    Murcia grew 3.1% in 2015. Growth is expected to stabilise around 2.7% in 2016 and 2.8% in 2017. The fall in the price of oil, the acceleration of the EMU, and the strength of internal demand shall drive growth. This scenario will enable the creation of 32,000 new jobs during this two-year period.

    Units:
    Geographies:Murcia Spain

    Available in Spanish

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    Digital Economy Outlook. April 2016

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    In this issue we focus on: The Open Banking Standard: defining the API bank model; Global regulators and digital financial inclusion: an evolving landscape in need of close attention; Network Information Security (NIS) Directive; China’s digital landscape: a digital kingdom ruled by three kings; and Unicorns: the biggest emerging companies

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Spain Real Estate Outlook. First half 2016

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    Real estate industry evolution will be positive also 2016, in a context of general economic growth. The good progress of demand fundamentals will support housing sales and will stimulate building activity. In the environment, housing prices had bottomed out and will show positive revaluations in 2016.

    Units:
    Geographies:Spain

    Available in Spanish

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    Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest March Update 2016

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    ISIS' Brussels attacks revives fears in Europe and renews debates about the European security services' efficiency. ISIS continued expanding in North Africa. Operations in Ukrainescalated involving re-deployed heavy weapons in the East. Violence also broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Tensions arose in some Latin American countries and remained contained in Asia.

    Available in English

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    China | How asset securitization can help Chinese G-SIBs to meet the TLAC rule

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    The TLAC proposal require G-SIBs to hold additional eligible instruments supplementary to Basel III requirement. China’s regulators could help their G-SIBs to overcome the funding gap by accelerating asset securitization, the shortfall would more than halve if the four Chinese G-SIBs could increase the portion of securitized assets to 50% of their consumer loans.

    Available in English

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    Spain | The economic recovery continued in 1Q16, despite the uncertainty

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    Spanish economic recovery continues. according to activity and employment data, which points at a growth of 0,8 QoQ in 1Q16. BBVA-Research estimates that the Spanish economy will grow at around 2,7% both in 2016 as in 2017, despite the risks hanging over the scenario being maintained or even increased in some cases.

    Units:
    Geographies:Spain

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Canary Islands Economic Outlook 2016

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    In 2015 the Canary Islands grew 2.8%. Growth will stabilise at around 2.9% in 2016 and 2.8% in 2017. The fall in oil prices, the acceleration of the EMU and the strength of internal demand will support growth. This scenario will enable the creation of 68,000 jobs during this two-year period.

    Units:
    Geographies:Canary Island Spain

    Available in Spanish

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    The Known Knows, the Unknown Knowns and the Unknown Unknowns about Rebalancing Finance

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    The role of finance in the Business Cycle. The Associated Vulnerabilities. Some Policy Proposals. Thus the report is critical.

    Available in English

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    Monitoring the expansion of the ECB balance sheet (March 2016)

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    In March, the asset purchase programme (APP), which includes public and private assets, exceeded the monthly objective of €60 billion, with €61.3 billion being acquired. The ECB announced a new package of measures in March, stressing that there is room to adopt more, if necessary, preferring unconventional measures over further rate cuts.

    Available in Spanish, English

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    U.S. | Business Investment: Stuck Between Uncertainty and Change

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    The depth of decline in aggregate demand during the Great Recession coupled with the subsequent slow recovery are the most common factors cited as the cause of weakness in business investment

    Geographies:USA

    Available in English

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