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May 12, 2021

Spain | Unpleasant arithmetic

Using simple calculations based on the figures published in the 2021–2024 Updated Stability Program (SP), it is clear that, with the assumptions contained in the SP, we will need a very ambitious roadmap to change certain long-term trends in public accounts.

May 11, 2021

U.S. Auto Sales Chartbook. May 2021

Auto sales rebounded 12.2% yoy in 1Q21, averaging 17 million units (SAAR). Meanwhile, April sales reached 18.5 million units (SAAR), the highest in 15 years.
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  • USA

May 11, 2021

Uruguay Economic Outlook 2021

The global economy keeps recovering in spite of the uncertain epidemiological context. World GDP growth should be 5.9% in 2021. The worsening health situation slows down economic activity in Uruguay, which will grow less than expected in 2021.

May 11, 2021

Turkey | Stronger than expected 1Q activity data

Industrial Production grew by 16.6% yoy in cal. adj. terms in March, implying 19.9% yoy growth in unadjusted series (11.2% 1Q21 vs. 10.2% in 4Q20). The strong momentum so far, favorable base effects and upward revisions in the global growth outlook reinforces upsides risks on our current 2021 GDP growth forecast of 5%.

May 10, 2021

Spain | The pension deficit in times of reform

The public deficit forecasts contained in the 2021–2024 Updated Stability Program provided by the Spanish government to the European Commission have recently been disclosed. For 2021, the collective target deficit for the Public Administrations is 8.4% of GDP, which will progressively decrease to reach 3.2% in 2024.

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