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    The Spanish labour market and the sustainability of the pension system

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    - People are living longer, due to the increase in life expectancy beyond 65. Life expectancy beyond 65y increases by 16 months every 10 years (3.2h per day). - The baby boom generation will start to retire at the beginning of the next decade and will do so with expectations of a longer life than their European counterparts (approximately two years longer).

    Geographies:Spain
    Topics:Pension

    Available in English

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    U.S. | The Puerto Rican Debt Crisis

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    Governor of Puerto Rico calls for restructuring and reform on $72 billion debt. Puerto Rico met its debt payments due Wednesday, avoiding default. Population outflow and low business investment suggest dim outlook

    Geographies:USA

    Available in English

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    ECB Minutes: 3 June meeting

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    All ECB members agreed to follow the current monetary policy strategy, adding the need to look through recent volatility in financial markets. In particular, the minutes showed that the GC saw no need to consider any change in the current monetary policy stance, but it was willing to review or modify the ECB´s stance if the need arises.

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Greek Uncertainty and Risks to the U.S.

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    Short-term financial volatility is expected but will fade as things shake out for Greece. U.S. trade, investment, and banking exposure to Greece remains very low. Fed unlikely to delay first rate hike over Greek concerns

    Geographies:USA

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Digital Economy Outlook. June 2015

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    In this issue we focus on: The digital transformation of banking; The Indian digital ID programme; Final compromise text of the PSD2; The Payment Systems Regulator; and ICT’s contribution to economic growth.

    Available in English

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    U.S. | ATUS 2014: Work More, Sleep More, Relax More

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    Americans spent more time on work, sleep, and leisure activities. Telecommuting was more popular among the college-educated. Americans spent more time watching TV than all other leisure activities combined

    Geographies:USA

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Uruguay Economic Outlook First half 2015

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    Uruguay has uncoupled from Mercosur and will grow at 2.6% in 2015 and 3.0% in 2016, in spite of the weaker stimulus from domestic demand

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Financial Regulation Outlook. June 2015

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    This month we focus on: thematic review on systemically important banks (SIBs), banking structural reform, the Five Presidents Report, the Commission's initiative for better regulation in the EU, the Commission’s consultation on EMIR implementation, the BRRD transposition in Spain and the final compromise text of the payment services directive (PSD2).

    Available in English

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    India | Banking sector dragging down or driving up India’s growth story?

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    In this watch, we examine key issues facing India's banking sector, their impact on banks' ability to support India's growth up-cycle, the effectiveness of recent policy measures to tackle banks’ inherent problems; and put forth policy recommendations.

    Units:
    Geographies:Asia India

    Available in English

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    The 5 Presidents Report: a milestone for enhancing the Euro governance

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    The European Council today discussed the "Five Presidents Report" on completing Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union. This milestone towards more integrated Eurozone governance builds on the work initiated in 2012 and outlines the roadmap towards a financial, fiscal, economic and political union in two stages. The ultimate goal is to have a genuine EMU in place by 2025.

    Available in English

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    The Refugee Crisis: Challenges for Europe

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    The Middle East and North Africa region are facing complex and multiple emergency situations that are posing important humanitarian challenges for Europe. The significant influx of refugees has introduced some security problems which could reshape migration European policies looking for a more coordinated response. Especially worrisome is the situation in Syria.

    Available in English

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    Portugal | Stable and relatively robust growth in 2Q15

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    The recovery continued at a stable pace in 1Q15, thanks to the performance of domestic demand and, using the data available for 2Q15, our MICA-BBVA model estimates that the recovery will continue at a similar speed, with growth of 0.5% QoQ.

    Units:
    Geographies:Europe Portugal
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    Asia | Bracing for a slow, grinding recovery

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    In this presentation we examine the key themes for Asia in 2015, including low oil prices, weak external demand, an imminent rate hike from the FED as well as the pace of structural reforms. This presentation featured as part of the Asian Banker International Banking Convention, held in Thailand on June 2015.

    Units:
    Geographies:Asia

    Available in English

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    U.S. | Timeline: Congress Passes Fast-Track and TAA

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    Congress passed TPA on Wednesday, allowing the president to expedite trade deals. On Thursday, TAA was passed, offering relief to displaced American workers. The president is now free to negotiate final details of the TPP, a trade deal with Asia

    Geographies:USA

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2015

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    We forecast growth of 3.1% in 2015 and a brief acceleration in the next two years. Primary sectors and fiscal measures will underpin growth this year, but we will still see weakness in private spending, so the rebound in activity will be discreet.

    Units:
    Geographies:Peru

    Available in Spanish, English

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    U.S. | 2014 State GDP Release: TX Comes in Strong

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    Top five states for 2014 GDP growth backed by strong oil and gas sectors. Shale boom drove 5.2% 2014 Texas GDP increase; baseline for 2015 remains 1.9%. Population growth and economic diversification reinforce Texas’s economic potential

    Geographies:USA

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Italian banks: still challenges ahead

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    In the ECB comprehensive assessment the Italian banking sector stood out as one of the weakest of the Euro Area, with 9 out of 15 banks displaying capital shortfalls.

    Geographies:Europe
    Topics:Banks

    Available in English

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    U.S. | CBO: Downward Revisions in Long-Term Interest Rates

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    Projections for long-term 10-year interest rates revised down to 2.3%. Government debt estimated to be 101% of GDP in 2039, down from last year. No major revisions in federal spending and revenues

    Geographies:USA

    Available in Spanish, English

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    Eurozone | The pace of growth consolidates in the second quarter

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    In recent months, the confidence indicators have continued to improve, supported by good activity data. The pace of growth in private consumption is moderating slightly after performing well since mid-2014, while exports appear to be recovering after a weak start to the year, possibly as a reflection of euro depreciation

    Units:
    Geographies:Europe

    Available in Spanish, English

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    BRRD transposition in Spain: a milestone in implementing an effective resolution regime

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    Today it has been published in the BOE the transposition of the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) in Spain (Ley 11/2015 de recuperación y resolución de entidades de crédito y empresas de servicios de inversión) approved by the Spanish Parliament last 11 June. It will enter into force on 20 June.

    Available in English

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