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    Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can perform a search filtering by date, geography and topic.

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    June 28, 2022

    US | Disinflation without a deep recession: the big challenge of the Fed

    Since the decade of the 1970s a strong surge in US inflation had not been seen. Even though there are some similarities between those years and nowadays like the higher inflation of food and energy, the Fed back then was not truly independent and used to favor employment expansion at the expense of inflation.

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    June 27, 2022

    Europe | Energy crisis and carbon pricing

    The world is now facing the biggest energy crisis of the last 40 years, making it hard to make any meaningful progress on climate legislation in the European Union (EU).

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    June 27, 2022

    Europe | Minimum wage: from symptoms to causes

    On June 7, 2022, the European Parliament and EU Member States reached an agreement on the Directive on adequate minimum wages. Despite the arrival of this Directive, differences in minimum wages between EU Member States will continue to exist for as long as there is no convergence in productivity and employment rates.

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    June 24, 2022

    Mexico | Will there be a recession in the United States?

    Recessions occur because the Fed's short-term interest rates determine the level of all rates in the economy: the Fed's rate hike implies higher rates for credit to companies, for mortgage loans and for consumer loans, etc.

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    June 24, 2022

    Financial Regulation: Weekly Update. June 24, 2022

    In this publication you will find, on a weekly basis, our selection of the most relevant news regarding financial regulation.

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    June 23, 2022

    Banxico shifts to a steeper tightening pace

    Banxico raised the policy rate by 75bp to 7.75% and signaled that another hike of this size was possible at its next meeting, but also that a larger hike was unlikely

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    June 23, 2022

    Argentina | BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator (May-22)

    In May, total consumption with BBVA cards, in real terms, grew 10.2% YoY. The latest data from our real time indicators show a weakness in the economic recovery process.

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    June 22, 2022

    Banxico will act “more forcefully” and deliver, a widely anticipated, larger 75bp hike

    There is (now) a wide consensus that Banxico will match Fed’s expected hikes through December, taking the policy rate to 9.50% by year-end

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