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    May 23, 2019

    Mexico | Fiscal space is limited

    With how much fiscal space does the country have? Is there a possibility of contracting more debt to support Pemex or to face a possible recession with a countercyclical fiscal expansion? To answer these questions, it is necessary to analyze the profile of Mexico's public debt.

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    May 23, 2019

    Market Comment | Risk-off mood prevails in financial markets

    Safe-haven bond yields continued to trend lower, dragged by the ongoing US-China trade strains, alongside the release of a gloomy business survey in Europe and increasing anxiety over a no-deal Brexit

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    May 23, 2019

    Global | Growth gained momentum in early 2019, but protectionism is a threat

    Up to March hard data was mixed: retail sales are still strong, but contrast with the weakness of industrial sector and global trade. Soft data slid again in April: manufacturing confidence remains gloomy, while services PMIs fell in DM and EM increasing concerns about contagion effects from trade and manufacturing.

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    May 23, 2019

    The territorial dynamics of income in Spain 1955–2016: an initial approximation

    This work marks the start of a series of projects that will analyse the evolution of GDP per capital in Spain's autonomous communities and its determining factors, using the related series of regional income and employment found in the RegData database described by De la Fuente (2017).

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    May 22, 2019

    Market Comment | US-China Tech confrontation brings back a cautious tone

    Financial markets trade in a cautious fashion, as investors wait for new developments in the US-China trade dispute, amid the US mulling over whether or not to add five new Chinese technology firms to a blacklist. The lack of support of May’s new Brexit plan also increase the risk-off mood.

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    May 22, 2019

    U.S. Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

    In July, the current economic expansion will reach 121 months, becoming the longest in modern history. Barring any shocks, inflation-adjusted GDP will average more than $21T in 2019 and by the end of the year real GDP per capita will surpass $58K.
    • Geography Tags
    • USA

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    May 21, 2019

    Mexico |May CPI HoH forecast: fresh food prices likely to drive up ann. headline inflation

    Core inflation will likely fall back within the narrow range in which it has fluctuated for the past year.

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    May 21, 2019

    Mexico | Traditional deposits deepens its weakness

    During the 1Q19, the fall in economic activity had a significant influence on traditional deposits, whose nominal annual growth of 7.8% (3.5% real) is the lowest since the end of 2013. This behavior is supported, mainly, in the stagnation of demand deposits, which predominated over the dynamism of time deposits.

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