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December 4, 2024
The Peruvian economy will grow 3,1% in 2024, 0,2pp more than expected in October. The revision mainly reflects the third quarter positive surprise. For 2025 we expect a 2,7% expansion, amid a challenging external context, but also when large infrastructure projects will begin construction.
December 4, 2024
Israel & Hezbollah exchange fire, threatening the ceasefire. Protests in Georgia. The South Korean parliament moves to impeach the president. The french government is on the brink of collapse.
December 4, 2024
In this edition of the QLMO, we review the labor market situation with data available up to Q3 2024. We review the trends in key indicators, examine recent behavior from a flow perspective, and place particular emphasis on the characteristics of first-time employment.
December 4, 2024
Growth will be around 3% for the third consecutive year in 2024, but a slowdown ahead is likely, driven by a less supportive global environment and higher-than-anticipated SELIC rates. The balance of risks has recently worsened, reflecting global factors and rising concerns over fiscal imbalances.
December 3, 2024
Book product of a collaboration between the National Population Council (CONAPO), BBVA Foundation and BBVA Research. This twelfth edition presents in ten chapters the main data and indicators on migration, human mobility and remittances on a regional and global scale, with emphasis on Mexico.
December 3, 2024
Consumer prices rose by %2.24 m/m in November, higher than consensus (2.0%), with no improvement in the underlying inflation trend. Considering November realizations, we evaluate annual consumer inflation is likely to finish the year at around 45% and decline to 26.5% in 2025 on our assumption of an effective policy mix.
December 3, 2024
Social Security affiliation dropped by 30,100, while unemployment decreased by 16,000. Adjusted for seasonality, contributors increased by 26,000, and the unemployed fell by 4,600. Preliminary data does not indicate a significant rise in workers affected by furlough schemes (ERTE) following the DANA.
December 2, 2024
The change of cycle expected by the sector was confirmed. The repeal of the Rent Law, the resurgence of loans, a greater control of inflation and recovering real wages augur a further expansion of the real estate market.
December 2, 2024
The consumer price index increased 0.09% m/m in November. The result for the month is mainly explained by the increase in the prices of some foods, electricity rates, and domestic gas. With this result, the interannual inflation rate stood at 2.3% in November, in the center of the BCRP's target range.
December 2, 2024
The information is as of the close of October 31, 2024, before the presidential elections in the United States were held and President Trump's victory was announced. Therefore, there is no possible "Trump" effect in this data.
December 2, 2024
We expect US protectionism to fuel uncertainty, and pressure global growth downwards and inflation upwards. In Türkiye, soft landing efforts remain on growth and employment outlook, increasing the downside risks on public spending cuts. Monetary policy communication becomes less hawkish and signals an easing cycle soon.
December 2, 2024
On November 24, two days later than initially planned, COP29 came to a close. Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) acknowledged that the final decisions have not satisfied all parties.
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