Publications

Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.

Latest publications on Potential output

Mexico | Does Banxico operate under a strict IFT regime?

April 10, 2026

In Banxico's monetary policy statement of March 26, 2026, two messages coexist: on the one hand, the forecasts for headline and core inflation are adjusted upwards between 1Q26 and 3Q26 with a balance of risks having an upward bias; on the other hand, the Board of Governors reduces the reference rate by 25 basis points.

U.S. | What’s happening with U.S. potential GDP growth?

September 28, 2018

Capital stock, labor, and productivity do not show a significant increase following the recent fiscal stimulus. According to our forecast, potential output will grow 1.8% per year on average for the next 10 years. Potential GDP growth reached its peak in 2017, and thus monetary policy normalization is adequate.

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