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Betty Huang
Betty Huang

Economist

Betty Huang is an Economist at BBVA. She joined BBVA in 2014, Research Department since 2014, where she assists the Chief Economist for Asia to conduct research in various areas.

 

Prior to joining BBVA, she worked as network planner in Yanchang and Shell Petroleum Company and was involved in a number of projects involving clients from the banking sector, including Chang Hwa Bank (CHB) in Hong Kong and China Minsheng Banking in mainland China.

 

Betty obtained her Master degree majoring in International Banking and Finance from Lingnan University of Hong Kong, and holds a Bachelor degree in Economics from Shanxi University.


Latest Publications

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China | Detecting China’s Financial Vulnerabilities

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On the backdrop of a solid growth in Q1, the China Vulnerability Sentiment Index broadly remained stable driven by SOE and Shadow banking Vunerability index, despite the new emerging risk of Sino-US trade tensions. However, Housing Bubble and Exchange Rate Vulnerability index deteriorated as property prices remained resilient as well as RMB's recent appreciation.

Available in English

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China | Not time to say goodbye to HKD peg

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The HKD depreciated from the strong end of its narrow band of 7.75 to near its weak end of 7.85 against the USD in mid-April, touching its lowest level since 2005. Despite some rising voices of questioning the sustainability of the linked exchange rate in the market, we firmly believe that foregoing the USD peg is an unlikely scenario in the short term for Hong Kong.

Available in English

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China | 'Trading' blows with the U.S.

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This watch examines the potential effects of the ongoing US-China trade clash on the Chinese economy. At its current stage, given a trade skirmish rather than a full-blown trade war, the downside risk to the Chinese economy seems contained. However, the Middle Kingdom stands to take a deeper hit in the event of a protracted trade war, the likelihood of which is still low.

Available in English

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China | ODI from the Middle Kingdom: What’s next after the big turnaround?

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China’s ODI saw a big turnaround as its strong growth momentum in 2016 came to a halt last year due to the authorities’ restrictive measures to curb capital outflows. We use a deal-based database by CGTI to detect where China’s ODI goes. Despite uncertain global political and economic environment, outbound investment by Chinese firms is likely to rise over the long term.

Available in English

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China | Vulnerability sentiment resumed upward trend in 2018

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Our China Vulnerability Sentiment Index resumed its upward trend in 2018, underpinned by a stronger GDP and on-going efforts to curb financial risks. Housing vulnerability index has seen significant improvement, SOE index rebounded somewhat despite deteriorating earlier. Shadow banking vulnerability index stabilized while Exchange rate index declined on RMB appreciation.

Available in English

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China Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

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China's economy showed signs of moderation in the third quarter due to a number of policy initiatives .To reflect the strong 1H growth and mitigated risks, we raise our 2017 growth forecast to 6.7%. Looking ahead, the dynamic of China’s economy will highly depend on the authorities’ attitudes towards the balance between pursuing growth and maintaining financial stability.

Available in English

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China | Early fruits of corporate deleveraging add to growth resilience

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The total debt level of China’s corporate sector remain a great concern. However, some firm-level indicators have shown improvement in the indebtedness of non-SOEs. The early fruits of corporate deleveraging have reinforced our confidence in China’s economic prospect, but there is still a long way to cover before declaring a decisive victory of the deleveraging campaign.

Available in English

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China | Taming China’s shadow banking sector

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China’s shadow banking sector evolved rapidly over the past few years as regulators and financial institutions played a “Whack-A-Mole” game. It occurs in the context of China’s ongoing financial liberalization. Our empirical analysis indicates that the current financial deleveraging and regulation tightening will drag on growth but the impact should be limited.

Available in English

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Renewables: The answer is blowin’ in the wind

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The prevalence of fossil fuels in the production of electricity is being challenged by the rapid expansion of renewable sources such as wind and solar. Around the world, wind energy capacity has increased fivefold since 2007, reaching 487GW in 2016

Available in Spanish, English

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Financial deleveraging: two steps forward; one step back

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After months of persistent regulatory tightening in domestic financial markets, China’s authorities unexpectedly fine-tuned their stance of monetary prudence by injecting liquidity into the banking sector. We interpret the authorities’ strategy as “two steps forward one step back”. After the market stabilizes and absorbs their messages, they are set to leap forward again.

Available in English

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China | Now comes moderation

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After registering a stronger-than-expected performance in Q1, China’s economy started to show more signs of moderation in April. Growth moderation is due in part to the authorities’ monetary prudence and tight regulations targeted at the risky shadow banking activities as well as the overheating property market.

Geographies:China

Available in English

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China Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

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Q1 GDP edged up to 6.9% YoY, we expect 2017 annual growth rate would not deviate much from the newly set official target of around 6.5%. Prudent monetary policy and tight regulations start to effect .RMB exchange rate and foreign reserves has stabilised. Downside risks: housing bubbles ; currency depreciation; indebtedness of the corporate sector and shadow banking.

Available in English

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February PMIs show the recovery gains momentum while headwinds loom large

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China’s official manufacturing PMI (released by NBS today) picked up to 51.6 in February from 51.3 in January, well above market expectations (Consensus: 51.2).Both of the manufacturing PMI outturns have been above the 50 watershed level in 7 consecutive months since last August , suggesting the economic recovery continues with a solid pace.

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Geographies:China Asia

Available in English

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China | The quest for a structured approach to deleveraging and SOE reform

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In this Watch, we look at the magnitude and sustainability of China's mounting corporate debt, and construct a simple index to measure the likelihood of foreclosures taking place at a regional level.

Units:
Geographies:Asia China

Available in English

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China | How asset securitization can help Chinese G-SIBs to meet the TLAC rule

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The TLAC proposal require G-SIBs to hold additional eligible instruments supplementary to Basel III requirement. China’s regulators could help their G-SIBs to overcome the funding gap by accelerating asset securitization, the shortfall would more than halve if the four Chinese G-SIBs could increase the portion of securitized assets to 50% of their consumer loans.

Available in English