Camilo Ulloa
Camilo Ulloa
Principal Economist

Camilo A. Ulloa joined BBVA Research in 2009 and now is Principal Economist for the Spain & Portugal unit. His main areas of interest are macroeconomics and applied econometrics, and his research has mainly focused on economic scenarios assessment, short-term forecasting and structural time series modeling.

He has been Teacher Assistant at the Department of Economics (Carlos III University) and Research Assistant at the Bank of Spain. He currently teaches in the Master's Degree in Foreign Trade (Carlos III University).

Camilo has a M.Sc. in Economic Analysis from the Universidad Carlos III de Madrid.

Latest publications

Social security affiliation increased by 106,500 people (2.3% YoY) and unemployment by 97,900 (-2.4% YoY). Once seasonality is accounted for, mixed signals are observed in labor market: employment gained dynamism and grew by 39,000 people, but unemployment registered its third non-consecutive growth in 2019 (13,000 people)
The Spanish economy grew 0.4% QoQ (2.0% YoY) in 3Q. According to the flash estimate, the domestic demand explained the increase (1.1pp QoQ; 1.8pp YoY), thanks to the recovery in consumption and investment. On the contrary, the external demand dragged down growth (-0.7pp QoQ; 0.2pp YoY), due to the strong rebound of imports
Despite the positive seasonality, employment increased by only 69,400 people (1.8% a/a), less than expected. This, combined with the rise in active population, led to a modest fall in the unemployment rate (-0.1pp to 13.9%). Excluding seasonality, employment stagnated and the unemployment rate rebounded to 14.4%