María Claudia Llanes
•MSc. in Economics from the University of London, London
•Previous work experience: Research on pension systems at the National Planning Department of Colombia
•Research on Chilean pension system as a consultant in Chile
•Joined ERD BBVA Colombia on October 2009
July 30, 2019
Employment vulnerability to the digital revolution: some stylized facts on five countries
We analyze the likelihood of job automation in a sample of emerging economies: Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Turkey. The average risk of automation ranges between 54% and 64. The countries show similar patterns in different aspects, such as distinctions by gender, age and education levels.
Economic growth will continue to be led by investment in view of the expected stabilisation in consumption spending. We estimate GDP growth in 2019 and 2020 will be at 3.0% each year and inflation at 3.3% and 3.2%, respectively. The Central Bank will keep its interest rates stable for a long time.