October 4, 2021
David Cervantes Arenillas
David Cervantes is Senior Economist at BBVA in Mexico. He is a specialist in impact evaluation, education, financial education, migration, remittances, and labor markets.
BS Degree and PhD in Economics by Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México and Master Degree in Demography by El Colegio de México.
His previous working background includes; deputy director of Evaluation at the BBVA Bancomer Financial Education Program and in the National Institute of Evaluation for Education (Instituto Nacional de Evaluación para la Educación). He has participated in research and impact evaluation projects of national and international organizations like the World Bank and the International Labor Organization and collaborated as a consultant of federal and local governmental programs in Mexico.
He has been a professor of Statistics and Econometrics at the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México and Universidad Anáhuac México Sur.
2021 is shaping up to be historic in formal job creation, but risks persist. Forward data of September would point to a job creation unprecedented in the last 24 years.
The 2022 economic package reinforces the commitment to fiscal discipline. The forecast of higher tax revenue is supported by improved intake practices and streamlining actions with more fiscal oversight for the compliance of tax payments. The federal law of income does not contemplate creating or raising taxes.
The labor market hit the brakes in August, probably driven by both demand and supply factors as a consumption demand slowdown along with increasing health concerns, both associated with the Delta variant, impacted the labor market.