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Hugo Vega
Hugo Vega
BBVA Research - Senior Economist

Hugo Vega is currently a Senior Economist from the BBVA Research Peru Unit. He is part of a team devoted to macroanalysis of the Peruvian economy. He is also a professor and teaches the Master’s Degree in Economics at the Pontifical Catholic University of Peru and the Faculty of Economics of the University of Piura.


Prior to this, he was an Assistant Manager of Investment Strategy at AFP Integra and he has also worked within the Management of Economic Studies at the Central Reserve Bank of Peru, where he led the Monetary Programme.


Hugo has a PhD in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science (London, UK). He has published a number of papers on macroeconomic issues such as monetary policy, macroprudential tools, financial friction.

Latest publications

GDP grew 5.0% y/y in May. The expansion of the fishing sector and primary manufacturing stood out (together they reflect the effect of the greater catch of anchovy). We estimate that the direct contribution of this factor to GDP growth is 2.5 percentage points, which represents half of the expansion rate for the month.
In its July decision, the Board of the Central Bank decided maintain the reference rate at 5.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains in restrictive territory.
June inflation was 0.12% MoM. The result for the month is explained by the increase in the prices of foods such as fish and potatoes, moderated by the decrease in the prices of chicken, some fruits, and fuel. The year-on-year rate was 2.3% (2.0% in May) within the Central Bank's target range.