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Hugo Perea
Hugo Perea
Chief Economist
Peru

Hugo Perea is an economist with a MSc degree in Economics by the London School of Economics, UK. Hugo has also attended several courses and seminars at international institutions as the IMF, the World Bank and the Federal Reserve.


He joined BBVA Group in May 2004, and currently he is the Chief Economist at Peru for BBVA Research. Before joining BBVA, Hugo worked at the Central Bank of Peru for more than 11 years, and there he was the Head of the Departments of Analysis and Financial Programming and of Econometric Models, areas directly involved with the monetary policy design. Also, as part of his experience in the public sector, Hugo was a member of the Board of the Tax Administration Service from 2011 to 2014.


On the academic side, Hugo teaches courses on Macroeconomics, Monetary Theory and Financial Crises in the most important Peruvian universities and has published papers on these subjects.

Latest publications

We expect output to grow by 3,1% in 2020, a forecast which is similar to the one we made in October, while in 2021 economic activity would grow by 3,5%. The main drivers will be the normalisation of primary activities (mining) and public spending, to which a stronger private spending will be added next year.
We estimate that in 2020 mining production will perform better, giving an important support to GDP growth. We also anticipate that mining investment will exhibit a more moderate increase due to the completion of some projects (mainly copper) already underway.
We forecast a GDP expansion of 2,5% in 2019, similar to our August forecast. For 2020 we anticipate GDP will grow 3,1% thanks to the normalization of primary activities (mining) and a stronger push from public spending.