Javier Amador is Principal Economist of BBVA Research. He joined BBVA Research in 2002. He has worked mainly in macroeconomic and financial analysis related to the Mexican, US and global economy. Between 2005 and 2007 he was a Senior Economist in the US team where he analyzed inflation and monetary policy mainly. He was a Principal Economist in the Global Financial Scenarios Team from 2010 to 2013 where he followed mainly Monetary Policy.
He obtained the Degree in Economics at the Monterrey Institute of Technology (ITESM) in 2000 with the highest honors (Summa Cum Laude), and an MsC in macroeconomics and finance subjects at the University of Birmingham in 2001.
Yet, we continue to expect Banxico to cut the policy rate until it reaches c. 0% real levels by year-end ie, 3.0% to 3.5%. The Board’s concerns on the ER should have eased in the intermeeting period.
We expect headline inflation to increase 0.58% MoM in May, thereby accelerating to 3.04% YoY from 2.15% in April. We anticipate a 0.36% MoM core inflation increase (3.71% YoY, up from 3.50% in April).