Jinyue Dong
Jinyue Dong
Senior Economist

Dr. Dong started to take the position of China Economist in BBVA Research Asia in 2014. In particular, she is in charge of the projections of China’s key macro indicators based on the forecasting models, the regular research publications which include comments on important data release and the authorities’ policy moves. She has also written a series of thematic reports in various perspectives on Chinese economy. Moreover, she takes responsibilities of research related inquiries from both outbound clients and internal ones.

Previous to this position in BBVA, Dr. Dong has worked in Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Asian Development Bank and National Development and Reform Commission of The State Council of China.

She obtained PhD in Economics at City University of Hong Kong, and she is also the PhD fellow of University of Paris 1, Panthéon-Sorbonne and Paris School of Economics in France. She holds Master of Economics at The University of Hong Kong and Bachelor in Economics from University of International Business and Economics in Beijing. She has published in academic journals such as Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of Housing Economics, etc. and she is also the author of working papers of Bank for International Settlements, Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Asian Development Bank.

Latest publications

The significantly better-than-expected export growth boosted by coronavirus-related product shipments, together with a volume expansion while total value dipping import growth helped to maintain the growth momentum extending in 2H 2020.
The July Politburo meeting emphasized the importance of the domestic market for Chinese economy amid COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, the meeting also confirmed that the stimulus policy will be gradually normalized with ongoing rollout of targeted fiscal stimulus and more conservative monetary policy stance.
Chinese economy is undergoing a V-shape recovery, with Q2 GDP increased significantly from -6.8% y/y in Q1 to 3.2%. Meanwhile, the recovery is still unbalanced as the pickup of the supply side appears much faster than that of the demand side. The recovery tends to make the 2H policy stimulus more conservative.