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Mauricio Hernández
Mauricio Hernández

Senior Economist

Mauricio Hernandez is Senior Economist of BBVA Research in Colombia.

 

Previously, Mauricio Hernandez was Associate Research Professor at the Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana, Researcher at the Universidad de Antioquia and research assistant at the Banco de la República.

 

He has taught of Macroeconomics, Econometrics and Financial Markets in undergraduate and graduate programs of the Universidad Católica de Pereira, Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana and Universidad de Antioquia.

 
He obtained the degree in Economics at the Universidad de Antioquia in 2006, he has a Master in Economics from the Universidad de Antioquia and is pursuing a master's degree in Financial Management at the Universidad Sergio Arboleda. He is the author of several publications in specialized journals on monetary policy and economic growth. He is casual evaluator of articles or research projects in several universities.


Latest Publications

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Presentation Colombia Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2017

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The economic slowdown seems to have ended in the second quarter. In the third quarter, there are signs of recovery to be seen in several sectoral indicators, although growth will remain low for the full year.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

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The Colombian economy shows a better behavior from the third quarter leaving the deceleration cycle behind. For 2018 most sectors will contribute to the acceleration of the economy thanks to a stronger internal demand and a recovery in external demand.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2017

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The Colombian economy responded positively to the oil Price shock maintaining positive growth. Nonetheless the recovery will be slow given the limited sources of growth. Inflation should continue its descending path in 2018 reaching the target range and there will be space for the Central Bank to continue reducing its reference interest rate.

Available in Spanish, English

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The Colombian road infrastructure: Where are we and where are we going in 4G?

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4G projects have demanded an overall significant effort. At the moment, 23 of the 32 4G projects have an ANI’s contractual financial closure and only 8 of them have a definitive one. Our scenario includes an execution which is slower than what the Government expects but that is still supporting GDP growth, especially in 2019. Challenges remain to be overcome.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

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The Colombian economy responded positively to the oil price shock maintaining growth in positive territory. The recovery will be slow given the limited sources of growth. Inflation will continue to descend in 2018 within the target range and there will be space for the Central Bank to continue reducing its policy rate.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Outlook. Second Quarter 2017

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Perspectives for world growth have increased slightly in the last quarter. In Colombia, 2017 began slowly, with growth affected by the low level of consumer confidence and sluggish public and private investment. Inflation continues to decline and BanRep will slash its benchmark rate in the coming months.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

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World growth continues apace. The Colombian economy will grow slightly faster than it did in 2016. 2016 saw a healthy and significant adjustment to the current account. Inflation shakes off supply-side shocks and ratifies its sharp fall. The Banco de la República has embarked on a downward rate cycle.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

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The global economy is gradually accelerating on the back of United States growth. Colombia GDP growth will rise from 1.9% in 2016 to 2.4% and 3.3% in 2017 and 2018. Investment will be decisive for reaching theses figures. The progressive reduction of inflation will allow BanRep to slash rates during 2017 and 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Colombia Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

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The global economy is gradually accelerating on the back of United States growth. Colombia GDP growth will rise from 1.9% in 2016 to 2.4% and 3.3% in 2017 and 2018. Investment will be decisive for reaching theses figures. The progressive reduction of inflation will allow BanRep to slash rates during 2017 and 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016

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Global economy: slow recovery with the support of central banks. Colombia is nearing completion of its adjustment to lower oil prices and its growth will gradually accelerate from 2017 onwards. Current account deficit is rapidly decreasing. Rapid decline in inflation is making room for BanRep to be more aggressive in lowering intervention rates in 2017.

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation "Colombia Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016"

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Global economy: slow recovery with the support of central banks. Colombia is nearing completion of its adjustment to lower oil prices and its growth will gradually accelerate from 2017 onwards. Current account deficit is rapidly decreasing. Rapid decline in inflation is making room for the central bank to be more aggressive in lowering intervention rates in 2017

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2016

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A gradual and well-ordered slowdown of the economy continues, reducing the macroeconomic imbalances. Macroeconomic vulnerabilities have diminished, though they have not disappeared. Market volatility in the wake of Brexit was offset by an expected more accommodating tone on the part of developed economies' central banks.

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Geographies:Colombia

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia | ¿Is this the last quarter of economic slowdown?

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In the second quarter of 2016, GDP grew 2.0% YoY and 0.2% QoQ. The manufacturing sector continues to be the highest-growing sector, even after excluding the impact of the Cartagena refinery.

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Geographies:Colombia

Available in Spanish

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Colombia | Slowdown of the Colombian economy remains very gradual

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In the first quarter of 2016, Colombian GDP grew 2.5% YoY. The economy decelerated with respect to the growth observed at the end of 2015. However, the slowdown in activity has been very gradual, with a change in the growth composition.

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Geographies:Colombia

Available in Spanish, English

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Colombia Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2016

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Global growth is still weak and dependent on the Chinese economy. Internal demand continues to shrink with an additional slowdown in consumer spending. The industrial sector has reacted, taking advantage of exchange rate to replace imports. Colombian growth will be slower in the medium term but will also be more sustainable and ensured by a more balanced economic structure

Units:
Geographies:Colombia

Available in Spanish, English