Olga Serna
Olga Serna
Principal Economist

Olga Serna is Principal Economist in the Colombian BBVA Research team, in charge of monitoring and analyzing strategic regulatory developments.

She holds a BSc in Finance and International Affairs from Externado de Colombia University, a graduate study in Actuarial Science from the Nacional de Colombia University, and an MBA from the New York University.

Previously, she worked at the Colombian Resolution and Deposit Insurance Authority (Fogafin) as Head of the Deposit Insurance System leading a group of experts in banking and financial stability.

Latest publications

The Colombian economy will moderate its growth, from high levels of activity, mainly due to lower private consumption. GDP will grow 0.7% in 2023 and 1.8% in 2024, after a gradual recovery from the end of this year. Inflation will gradually decline, ending this year at 9% and 2024 at 5%.
Global growth will continue to decelerate gradually in 2023 and recover thereafter. Colombia's GDP will follow a similar path, mainly explained by lower household spending. Inflation will be lower over the next two years, allowing for lower interest rates from the end of 2023.
The Colombian economy will enter a lower growth fase. Private consumption will stabilize at more sustainable levels in the medium term. Inflation will gradually moderate in 2023. The Central Bank will have space to start a gradual interest rate reduction cycle at the end of 2023.