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Saide Aránzazu Salazar
Saide Aránzazu Salazar

Senior Economist

Saidé Salazar is Principal Economist of BBVA Research. As part of the macroeconomic analysis team, she is responsible for studying the variables linked to the real economy in Mexico.

 

Between 2010 and 2013, she worked as Director of Economic Studies at the National Banking and Securities Commission in Mexico, and previously was part of the advisory team of the Undersecretary of Hydrocarbons at the Ministry of Energy. She has been assistant professor in the Economics Division of the Center for Economic Research and Teaching (CIDE) and the Center for Economic Studies of El Colegio de Mexico, in Mexico City.

 

Saidé graduated from CIDE in 2006, where she completed a degree in Economics with the highest honors. In 2009 she received the master's degree in Economics from El Colegio de México.


Latest Publications

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Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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We are maintaining our forecast for growth in 2018 at 2.0%, driven by private consumption and the consolidation of exports. In 2017, the primary balance of the public sector was positive for the first time since 2008. After the temporary increase in 4Q17, inflation has resumed its downward trend in 1Q18 as we forecast.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

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The economy contracted in the third quarter of the year. The preliminary QoQ growth rate, annualised, was negative at 0.8%

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Lower US corporate taxes would not reverse Mexico’s competitive advantage in manufacturing

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Mexico would continue to be more competitive than the United States in the production of manufactured goods even if the latter were to cut its corporate tax rate from 35% to 20%. The difference in labor costs alone is a sufficient factor for Mexico to remain more competitive than the US

Units:
Geographies:Mexico USA

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. October 2017

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Update of the risk assessment by the Financial System Stability Council (CESF). The value of construction companies’ activity fell 2.7% in July 2017. Losses for Emerging Market assets on investor expectations factoring in an additional hike by the Fed towards year end

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Bank deposits: slight recovery driven by demand deposits

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In July 2017 the nominal annual growth rate of traditional bank funding (demand + term) was 11.0%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous month, but 1.4 percentage points lower than the rate registered in July 2016

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | The credit to the private sector raises driven by corporate credit

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In August 2017, the balance of current credit granted by commercial banks to the private sector grew at a nominal annual rate of 13.2% (6.2% real), 0.6 percentage points higher than the rate observed in the previous month (12.6%), but 2.8 percentage points below that registered in August 2016 (16.1%)

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Earthquakes in Mexico: we are not changing our 2017 growth forecast

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Besides the economic losses caused by this natural disaster, the palpable effects are limited and only relevant to very specific regions and do not represent a major change in the economic growth rates at a national level. The earthquakes did not damage the productive capacity of the economy, as productive infrastructure was largely unaffected

Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. September 2017

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Housing prices rise 6.88% in the second half of 2017. The Bank of Mexico announces a slow-down in the economy’s financing sources and uses. The rate of growth of the personal loan portfolio continues to slow. Credit card financing consolidated its recovery in 2016

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Bank deposits: less dynamism due to lower growth in its term segment

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In June 2017 the nominal annual growth rate of traditional bank deposits (demand + term) was 10.8%, 0.8 percentage points lower than the previous month and 3.6 percentage points lower than the same month of the previous year

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Credit to the private sector maintained moderate growth with a rate of 12.7%

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In July 2017, the balance of current credit granted by commercial banks to the private sector grew at a nominal annual rate of 12.7% (5.9% real), 1.1 percentage points lower than the rate observed in the previous month (13.8%) and 4.4 percentage points below that registered in July 2016 (17.1%)

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. August 2017

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The housing inventory continues to fall and is located below 250 thousand units. CNBV publishes its Report on Financial Savings and Financing in Mexico with figures to March 2017. Banco de México publishes a tool to analyse the conditions of automotive loans. Key regulation issues for Fintechs and financial services

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Bank deposits: loss of dynamism due to lower growth in its segment at demand

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In May 2017 the nominal annual growth rate of traditional bank deposits (demand + term) was 11.7%, 2.0 percentage points lower than the previous month, and 1.2 percentage points lower than the same month of the previous year

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Credit to private sector closed the first half of the year with growth of 13.8%

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In June 2017 the outstanding credit of the commercial banking sector grew at a nominal annual rate of 13.8% (7.1% real), 0.5 percentage points lower than the rate observed in the previous month (14.3%) and 2.4 points percentage points below that recorded in June 2016 (16.2%)

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. July 2017

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Mortgage rates are firmly on the rise. The CNBV has released an update on its Financial Inclusion Report. Banxico has updated its report on housing loan indicators. Payroll loans have become more sluggish in spite of the improved conditions as regards the sum borrowed and the lending rate

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English