Politics and Geopolitics
Politics and Geopolitics latest publications
China’s domestic uncertainties particularly the Covid-19 situation dominate external uncertainties as the main risks for growth. Two Sessions sets growth target at 5.5% and promulgated the stimulus package for 2022 to support growth which is unsynchronized with main central banks’ tightening measures.
We analyze the challenges and international comparison of China's "zero tolerance" strategy on COVID-19 and provide a predicted timetable and pre-requisites for Chinese-style "coexistence" strategy.
Of the three key elections for the future of the Eurozone in the coming years—the German general election and the presidential elections in Italy and France in the first half of 2022—the first ended last week with the appointment of Olaf Scholz as chancellor.
In the month of May, the economic growth of the first quarter of 2021 was known, surprising with levels close to the GDP of the end of 2019. However, the different negative events that occurred throughout the month require quick solutions to avoid disrupting the dynamism and recovery of the beginning of the year.
The latest political discussions within and outside of the Congress have placed the tax reform in uncertainty. It is necessary to reach agreements and quickly approve the best version of the reform in order to avoid negative effects on the economic recovery process along with investment and consumption decisions.
This brief analyzes the impact of the 2020 CARES Act’s Paycheck Protection Program on short and long term regional labor markets and compares these results to the government consensus and the effects of concurrent Covid-19 recovery programs.
After weeks of waiting, the Government's tax and social reform proposal is now published. The proposal seeks to stabilize the public debt and presents several issues to improve the tax system and social spending, while some issues should be discussed deeply and free of passionate feelings.
The annual “two-sessions” of China, namely the National People’s Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), commenced in Beijing on March 4th 2021 and will be last for around one week, which are always the top priority in China’s political agenda every year.