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The recent financial turmoil in the US and Swiss banking system has exacerbated the already complex monetary policy and inflation outlook, following several years of economic shocks. The central banks have reacted well by separating anti-inflation instruments from financial risk prevention.
In the last two decades China has substantially increased its importance both in the world trade of goods, tripling its weight in world exports and imports, and in the trade of services and capital. This is reflected in substantial changes in China's bilateral economic relations with many countries, including Spain.
Following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, over the past year, the perception that an economic recession was inevitable in the short term has built up. However, the signs of a recession are now few and far between.
We will see a very tight market throughout 2023, despite what is likely to be a significant economic slowdown due to various shocks, following the trend seen in recent years.
The annual “two sessions” of China will be held in the coming month, which will announce the top political leadership reshuffle and the new stimulus to support economic recovery.
The energy price situation has turned out better than expected, after it became clear that there would be no gas shortage this winter, partly due to the moderate temperatures. Even so, the natural gas market will remain under strain at least through 2024.
The gas situation in Europe remains favorable thanks to contained demand and stable supply, resulting in gas prices at pre-war levels. We expect no gas shortages in the coming winter, although additional measures will be necessary to have a sustainable gas balance.
On December 16, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador proposed an initiative to reform the Aviation Law that would authorize foreign airlines and parastatals to operate in Mexican territory.
The European Union is on track to close 2022 with consumption below previous years and healthy reserves. However, a possible return to normal temperatures, China's economic recovery and, concerns about Russia supply and nuclear generation in Fr…
The increase in EU gas reserves to 94% of capacity together with warmer weather and lower consumption indicates that Europe is in a good position to face the rise in consumption during winter. Factors to be considered are the European Commissio…
Remittances add up to a streak of 29 consecutive months of growth, which began in May 2020. Latinos constitute up to 34.3 million voters in the US, 14.0% of the voter registry in the elections on November 8, surpassing the self-identified population as only African American, Asian, and Native American.
Reserves accumulated so far (96 bcm) would cover the EU's natural gas needs for next winter assuming: the current flow of imports is maintained, normal weather and a conservative 5% reduction in consumption.
